Wang Hai-Jun, Li Kai-Liang, Li Jian, Lin Kun, Shi Yang, Wang Hao, Si Quan-Jin, Wang Yu-Tang
Department of Cardiology, the Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital; National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Beijing, China.
Department of Cardiology, the First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
J Int Med Res. 2019 Sep;47(9):4312-4323. doi: 10.1177/0300060519858151. Epub 2019 Jul 21.
This study aimed to evaluate the effects of moderate chronic kidney disease (CKD) and left atrial enlargement on the risks of thromboembolic events, and all-cause and cardiovascular mortalities in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).
We retrospectively studied 751 patients (82.16% men, mean age: 79.0±9.1 years) with AF who were followed up for an average of 34.5 months at a single center. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of risk factors for adverse clinical events were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model.
The risks of thromboembolic events, and all-cause and cardiovascular deaths were higher in patients with moderate CKD compared with patients with normal renal function after adjusting for other traditional risk factors (HR: 1.63, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03–2.58; HR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.08–2.23; HR: 3.49, 95% CI: 1.57–7.74; respectively). Left atrial volume index >28.0 mL/m was an independent risk factor associated with thromboembolic events and all-cause and cardiovascular deaths (HR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.21–2.33; HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.16–2.10; HR: 1.87, 95% CI: 1.07–3.28; respectively).
Moderate CKD and left atrial enlargement may predict thromboembolic events, and all-cause and cardiovascular mortalities in elderly patients with AF without anticoagulation therapy.
本研究旨在评估中度慢性肾脏病(CKD)和左心房扩大对老年房颤(AF)患者血栓栓塞事件风险以及全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的影响。
我们回顾性研究了751例AF患者(男性占82.16%,平均年龄:79.0±9.1岁),这些患者在单一中心平均随访了34.5个月。使用Cox比例风险模型计算不良临床事件风险因素的调整后风险比(HRs)。
在调整其他传统风险因素后,中度CKD患者发生血栓栓塞事件、全因死亡和心血管死亡的风险高于肾功能正常的患者(HR分别为:1.63,95%置信区间(CI):1.03–2.58;HR:1.55,95%CI:1.08–2.23;HR:3.49,95%CI:1.57–7.74)。左心房容积指数>28.0 mL/m²是与血栓栓塞事件、全因死亡和心血管死亡相关的独立风险因素(HR分别为:1.62,95%CI:1.21–2.33;HR:1.56,95%CI:1.16–2.10;HR:1.87,95%CI:1.07–3.28)。
中度CKD和左心房扩大可能预测未接受抗凝治疗的老年AF患者的血栓栓塞事件、全因死亡和心血管死亡。