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中度慢性肾脏病和左心房扩大独立预测老年房颤患者的血栓栓塞事件和死亡率:一项回顾性单中心研究

Moderate chronic kidney disease and left atrial enlargement independently predict thromboembolic events and mortality in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation: a retrospective single-center study.

作者信息

Wang Hai-Jun, Li Kai-Liang, Li Jian, Lin Kun, Shi Yang, Wang Hao, Si Quan-Jin, Wang Yu-Tang

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, the Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital; National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Beijing, China.

Department of Cardiology, the First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.

出版信息

J Int Med Res. 2019 Sep;47(9):4312-4323. doi: 10.1177/0300060519858151. Epub 2019 Jul 21.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the effects of moderate chronic kidney disease (CKD) and left atrial enlargement on the risks of thromboembolic events, and all-cause and cardiovascular mortalities in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 751 patients (82.16% men, mean age: 79.0±9.1 years) with AF who were followed up for an average of 34.5 months at a single center. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of risk factors for adverse clinical events were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The risks of thromboembolic events, and all-cause and cardiovascular deaths were higher in patients with moderate CKD compared with patients with normal renal function after adjusting for other traditional risk factors (HR: 1.63, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03–2.58; HR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.08–2.23; HR: 3.49, 95% CI: 1.57–7.74; respectively). Left atrial volume index >28.0 mL/m was an independent risk factor associated with thromboembolic events and all-cause and cardiovascular deaths (HR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.21–2.33; HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.16–2.10; HR: 1.87, 95% CI: 1.07–3.28; respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate CKD and left atrial enlargement may predict thromboembolic events, and all-cause and cardiovascular mortalities in elderly patients with AF without anticoagulation therapy.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在评估中度慢性肾脏病(CKD)和左心房扩大对老年房颤(AF)患者血栓栓塞事件风险以及全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的影响。

方法

我们回顾性研究了751例AF患者(男性占82.16%,平均年龄:79.0±9.1岁),这些患者在单一中心平均随访了34.5个月。使用Cox比例风险模型计算不良临床事件风险因素的调整后风险比(HRs)。

结果

在调整其他传统风险因素后,中度CKD患者发生血栓栓塞事件、全因死亡和心血管死亡的风险高于肾功能正常的患者(HR分别为:1.63,95%置信区间(CI):1.03–2.58;HR:1.55,95%CI:1.08–2.23;HR:3.49,95%CI:1.57–7.74)。左心房容积指数>28.0 mL/m²是与血栓栓塞事件、全因死亡和心血管死亡相关的独立风险因素(HR分别为:1.62,95%CI:1.21–2.33;HR:1.56,95%CI:1.16–2.10;HR:1.87,95%CI:1.07–3.28)。

结论

中度CKD和左心房扩大可能预测未接受抗凝治疗的老年AF患者的血栓栓塞事件、全因死亡和心血管死亡。

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