Atkinson Jo-An, Page Andrew, Skinner Adam, Heffernan Mark, Prodan Ante, Hickie Ian B
Decision Analytics, Sax Institute, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Translational Health Research Institute, Western Sydney University, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Front Psychiatry. 2019 Jul 2;10:448. doi: 10.3389/fpsyt.2019.00448. eCollection 2019.
There has been ongoing debate regarding the impact of reductions in psychiatric beds on suicide rates, and the potential effect of reallocation of acute hospital funding to community-based mental health programs and services. Computer simulation offers significant value in advancing such debate by providing a robust platform for exploring strategic resource allocation scenarios before they are implemented in the real world. We report an application that demonstrates a threshold effect of cuts to psychiatric beds on suicide rates and the role of context specific variations in population, behavioral, and service use dynamics in determining where that threshold lies. Findings have important implications for regional decision-making regarding resource allocation for suicide prevention.
关于减少精神病床位对自杀率的影响,以及将急性医院资金重新分配给社区心理健康项目和服务的潜在效果,一直存在着争论。计算机模拟通过提供一个强大的平台,在现实世界中实施之前探索战略资源分配方案,为推进此类争论提供了重大价值。我们报告了一个应用案例,该案例展示了削减精神病床位对自杀率的阈值效应,以及人口、行为和服务使用动态中特定背景变化在确定该阈值位置方面的作用。研究结果对区域自杀预防资源分配决策具有重要意义。