Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, 8058 Zurich Airport, Switzerland.
Meteorology Group, Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Sciences, University of Cantabria, 39005 Santander, Spain.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Jul 27;16(15):2684. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16152684.
High temperatures lead to heat-related human stress and an increased mortality risk. To quantify heat discomfort and the relevant dangers, heat stress indices combine different meteorological variables such as temperature, relative humidity, radiation and wind speed. In this paper, a set of widely-used heat stress indices is analyzed and compared to the heat index currently used to issue official heat warnings in Switzerland, considering 28 Swiss weather stations for the years 1981-2017. We investigate how well warnings based on the heat index match warning days and warning periods that are calculated from alternative heat stress indices. The latter might allow for more flexibility in terms of specific warning demands and impact-based warnings. It is shown that the percentage of alternative warnings that match the official warnings varies among indices. Considering the heat index as reference, the simplified wet bulb globe temperature performs well and has some further advantages such as no lower bound and allowing for the calculation of climatological values. Yet, other indices (e.g., with higher dependencies on humidity) can have some added value, too. Thus, regardless of the performance in terms of matches, the optimal index to use strongly depends on the purpose of the warning.
高温会导致与热相关的人体压力和死亡率上升。为了量化热不适和相关危险,热应激指数将不同的气象变量(如温度、相对湿度、辐射和风速)结合起来。在本文中,我们分析了一组广泛使用的热应激指数,并将其与目前瑞士用于发布官方高温警告的热指数进行了比较,研究了基于热指数的警告与从替代热应激指数计算出的警告日和警告期的匹配程度。后者可能在特定的警告需求和基于影响的警告方面具有更大的灵活性。结果表明,替代警告与官方警告匹配的百分比因指数而异。以热指数为参考,简化湿球温度表现良好,并且具有一些额外的优势,例如没有下限,并且可以计算气候学值。然而,其他指数(例如,对湿度的依赖性更高)也可能具有一些附加值。因此,无论在匹配程度上的表现如何,使用最佳指数强烈取决于警告的目的。