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经济复杂性对环境恶化有影响吗?对不同发展阶段的实证分析。

Does economic complexity matter for environmental degradation? An empirical analysis for different stages of development.

机构信息

Suleyman Demirel University, Isparta, Turkey.

Faculty of Economics and Accounting, South Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Nov;26(31):31900-31912. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-06333-1. Epub 2019 Sep 5.

Abstract

This study is among the first attempts to examine the effect of economic complexity as an indicator of sophisticated and knowledge-based production structures on CO emissions for 55 countries over the period of 1971-2014. The countries considered fall into three different income groups, namely high income, higher middle income, and lower middle income. The study employs the panel quantile regression methodology and tests the existence of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis by including economic complexity and other control variables such as energy consumption, urbanization, and trade openness in its model. The results show that economic complexity has significant impacts on the environment. Based on the analysis, economic complexity has increased the environmental degradation in lower and higher middle-income countries, and has controlled CO emissions in high-income countries. Since economic complexity plays a significant role in environmental damage, it is crucial for low- and middle-income countries to adjust their current industrial and production policies to promote economic growth and at the same time protect the environment.

摘要

本研究首次尝试考察经济复杂度作为复杂和基于知识的生产结构的指标对 1971 年至 2014 年间 55 个国家的二氧化碳排放的影响。所考虑的国家分为高收入、中高收入和中低收入三个不同的收入群体。本研究采用面板分位数回归方法,并通过在模型中纳入经济复杂度和其他控制变量(如能源消耗、城市化和贸易开放度)来检验环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说的存在。结果表明,经济复杂度对环境有重大影响。基于分析,经济复杂度增加了中低收入国家的环境恶化,控制了高收入国家的二氧化碳排放。由于经济复杂度在环境破坏中起着重要作用,因此对于低和中等收入国家来说,调整当前的产业和生产政策以促进经济增长并同时保护环境至关重要。

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