Global think tank Research Center, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310023, China; Center for Green Low-Carbon Development Research, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310023, China.
Center for Green Low-Carbon Development Research, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310023, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2019 Nov 20;692:1086-1096. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.07.174. Epub 2019 Jul 12.
Inter-provincial lateral carbon compensation (IPLCC) is considered as a market-based tool to achieve the goal of carbon emission mitigation from the national level as well as contribute to fair development rights of various provinces. However, empirical research on lateral carbon compensation is still insufficient at the provincial level. Therefore, the improved carbon budget method is proposed to construct a provincial carbon budget accounting and evaluate the level of provincial lateral carbon compensation. The findings are concluded as follows: (1) Carbon emission and absorption in China have experienced rapid growth in the period of 2005-2015. (2) There exists an obvious spatial difference in the provincial carbon budget. The amount of provincial carbon emissions is high in the east and low in the west, while the provincial carbon absorption is high in the northeast and southwest and low in the other regions. (3) 30 Provinces in China can be classified into three types, namely those that have to pay for lateral carbon compensation, those that should be refunded, and those in relative equilibrium. (4) Whether a province should pay for or be refunded from lateral carbon compensation is related to the development level of the secondary industry. (5) Inter-provincial lateral carbon compensation will play a significant role in the top-level design of total carbon emission controlling across different provinces in China. Finally, three policy implications are proposed, including constant promotion of the decoupling of provincial economic development and carbon emissions, formulation of accounting standards and methods for lateral carbon compensation, and adoption of multiple lateral carbon compensation methods.
省际横向碳补偿（IPLCC）被认为是实现国家减排目标和促进各省份公平发展权的市场工具。然而，在省级层面上，关于横向碳补偿的实证研究仍然不足。因此，提出了改进的碳预算方法，以构建省级碳预算核算，并评估省级横向碳补偿的水平。研究结果如下：（1）2005-2015 年期间，中国的碳排放和吸收经历了快速增长。（2）省级碳预算存在明显的空间差异。东部省份的碳排放量高，西部省份的碳排放量低，而东北和西南省份的碳吸收量高，其他地区的碳吸收量低。（3）中国的 30 个省份可以分为三类，即需要支付横向碳补偿的省份、应该获得退款的省份和相对平衡的省份。（4）一个省份是否需要支付或获得横向碳补偿与第二产业的发展水平有关。（5）省际横向碳补偿将在中国不同省份的总碳排放量控制的顶层设计中发挥重要作用。最后，提出了三条政策建议，包括不断推动省级经济发展与碳排放的脱钩、制定横向碳补偿的核算标准和方法、采用多种横向碳补偿方法。
