Erosheva Elena A, White Toby A
Department of Statistics and School of Social Work, University of Washington, Box 354322, Seattle, WA, U.S.A. 98195-4322.
Departments of Actuarial Science and Finance, Drake University, Des Moines, IA, U.S.A. 50311-4505.
J Off Stat. 2010;26(2):317-339.
The National Long Term Care Survey, a longitudinal study that consisted of the screen and detailed interviews, provides a unique opportunity to illustrate issues in survey measurement of chronic disability. The original intent of the survey was to use the shorter measure of disability status in the screen interview to maximize the yield of disabled cases and then examine those cases with the longer measure in the detailed interview, identifying possible "false positive" disability cases from the screen. In this paper, we show empirically that the intended relationship between the screen and detailed NLTCS disability measures doesn't hold uniformly - the detailed measure provides significantly higher ADL disability estimates than the screen measure, contrary to the expectation. We examine whether discrepancies between the two disability measures are associated with certain features of the survey design and respondent-level characteristics, discuss implications of our findings for prevalence estimation, and provide recommendations for disability survey design.
全国长期护理调查是一项包含筛查和详细访谈的纵向研究,它为阐述慢性残疾调查测量中的问题提供了一个独特的机会。该调查的初衷是在筛查访谈中使用较短的残疾状况测量方法,以最大限度地增加残疾案例的数量,然后在详细访谈中用较长的测量方法对这些案例进行检查,从筛查中识别出可能的“假阳性”残疾案例。在本文中,我们通过实证表明,全国长期护理调查筛查和详细残疾测量之间的预期关系并非始终成立——与预期相反,详细测量得出的日常生活活动(ADL)残疾估计值明显高于筛查测量值。我们研究了两种残疾测量方法之间的差异是否与调查设计的某些特征以及受访者层面的特征相关,讨论了我们的研究结果对患病率估计的影响,并为残疾调查设计提供了建议。