Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
Epidemiology and One Health, Animal Health Policy Branch, Department of Agriculture and Water Resources, Canberra, ACT, Australia.
PLoS One. 2019 Oct 11;14(10):e0223518. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0223518. eCollection 2019.
An incursion of Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in a previously FMD-free country can cause significant economic damage from immediate and prolonged closure of FMD-sensitive markets. Whilst emergency vaccination may help contain disease, the presence of vaccinated animals complicates post-outbreak management and the recovery of FMD-free status for return to trade. We present enhancements to the Australian Animal DISease (AADIS) model that allow comparisons of post-outbreak management strategies for vaccinated animals, for the purposes of securing the earliest possible return to trade. Two case studies are provided that compare the retention of vaccinated animals with removal for waste/salvage, and the impact on recovery of FMD-sensitive markets per OIE guidelines. It was found that a vaccinate-and-retain strategy was associated with lower post-outbreak management costs, however this advantage was outweighed by significantly higher trade losses. Under the assumptions of the study there was no cost advantage to salvaging the removed vaccinated animals.
口蹄疫(FMD)在一个以前无口蹄疫的国家的爆发会对 FMD 敏感市场的立即和长期关闭造成重大的经济损失。虽然紧急疫苗接种可以帮助控制疾病,但接种动物的存在使疫情后的管理和恢复无口蹄疫状态以恢复贸易复杂化。我们对澳大利亚动物疾病信息系统(AADIS)模型进行了改进,以便比较接种动物的疫情后管理策略,以尽早恢复贸易。提供了两个案例研究,比较了保留接种动物与清除废弃/报废动物的策略,以及根据 OIE 指南对恢复 FMD 敏感市场的影响。结果发现,接种疫苗并保留的策略与较低的疫情后管理成本相关,但这种优势被贸易损失的显著增加所抵消。在研究的假设下,清除废弃的接种动物没有成本优势。