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如何提高 YLS/CMI?探索项目的特别预测组合。

How to Improve the YLS/CMI? Exploring a Particularly Predictive Combination of Items.

机构信息

Universitat Jaume I, Castellón de la Plana, Spain.

William James Center for Research, ISPA-Instituto Universitário, Lisbon, Portugal.

出版信息

Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2020 Jul;64(9):922-937. doi: 10.1177/0306624X19881926. Epub 2019 Oct 14.

DOI:10.1177/0306624X19881926
PMID:31609147
Abstract

Recidivism risk assessment is central to addressing criminogenic needs among youth offenders. To accomplish this, the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) is worldwide used, but it is long and has limited predictive validity for minority populations. This study presents a particularly predictive combination of seven items that overcomes these limitations. A sample of 430 Spanish youth offenders participated in this study. The YLS/CMI long version was filled out and reconvictions were collected over a 2-year period. Results show that this combination of seven items reduced more than 80% of the inventory and improved the predictive validity, globally and for minorities. The items that were included were related to psychopathic traits and the lack of protective role models. Therefore, this specific combination of YLS/CMI items has considerable higher predictive validity across gender and culture, and may be useful to practitioners in this field.

摘要

累犯风险评估是解决青少年罪犯犯罪成因需求的核心。为此,青少年量刑/案件管理清单(YLS/CMI)在全球范围内得到广泛应用,但它篇幅较长,对少数族裔群体的预测有效性有限。本研究提出了一个特别具有预测性的七项组合,可以克服这些限制。本研究对 430 名西班牙青少年罪犯进行了样本调查。填写了 YLS/CMI 长版,并在 2 年内收集了重新定罪的情况。结果表明,这七项组合减少了 80%以上的项目,提高了整体和少数族裔的预测有效性。包括的项目与精神病态特征和缺乏保护榜样有关。因此,YLS/CMI 项目的这种特定组合在性别和文化方面具有更高的预测有效性,可能对该领域的从业者有用。

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