Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, Spain.
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2022 Jun;66(8):791-806. doi: 10.1177/0306624X211022668. Epub 2021 Jun 2.
Despite the increasing interest in the accuracy of youth risk assessment tools, the amount of research with ethnic minorities remains relatively modest. For this reason, the main goal of this study was to assess the predictive validity and disparate impact of the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) in a Spanish ethnic minority. The participants consisted of 88 Roma youth offenders and 135 non-Roma youth offenders, aged between 14 and 17 years old. Their risk of recidivism was assessed by means of the YLS/CMI Inventory and their recidivism rate was obtained from the Juvenile Justice Department. Results showed that the Inventory presented slightly lower predictive validity for the Roma group. Moreover, Roma juveniles presented higher risk scores and lower strength scores than non-Roma juveniles. These results supported the idea that professionals must therefore be aware of these cultural differences in predictive validity and the existent potentiality for disparate impact.
尽管人们对青少年风险评估工具的准确性越来越感兴趣，但涉及少数民族的研究数量仍然相对较少。出于这个原因，本研究的主要目的是评估西班牙少数民族青少年的 YLS/CMI 青少年量刑/案件管理清单（Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory）的预测效度和差异影响。参与者包括 88 名罗姆青少年罪犯和 135 名非罗姆青少年罪犯，年龄在 14 至 17 岁之间。他们的累犯风险通过 YLS/CMI 清单进行评估，累犯率则从少年司法部门获得。结果表明，该清单对罗姆群体的预测效度略低。此外，罗姆青少年的风险评分高于非罗姆青少年，而力量评分则低于非罗姆青少年。这些结果支持了这样一种观点，即专业人员必须意识到这种在预测效度方面的文化差异以及在差异影响方面的潜在可能性。
