McCredie M, Coates M S, Ford J M
New South Wales Central Cancer Registry, North Ryde, Australia.
Int J Cancer. 1988 Nov 15;42(5):667-71. doi: 10.1002/ijc.2910420505.
Data from the New South Wales (NSW) Central Cancer Registry comprising all new cases of cancer registered in persons aged 15 years and over for the 10-year period 1973 to 1982 were examined using log-linear regression to determine whether the incidence of cancer had been changing in NSW. Allowing for the altered age and sex structure of the population over this period, the annual incidence rate for all sites combined increased significantly by 1.7% in men and 1.0% in women. Cancers which had increased at a rate significantly greater than that for all sites combined were those of unknown primary site (8.7% per year), lung (in women only, 5.6%), kidney (4.5%), bladder (2.7%) and rectum (2.6%) and lymphomas (2.6%). Other cancers which showed a significantly increased incidence rate per se were testis (3.5%), larynx (3.2%), prostate (2.1%), colon (1.7%), brain (1.6%), leukaemias (1.3%) and lung (in men only, 0.7%). Cancers which had decreased significantly in incidence were those of oesophagus (-2.2%), cervix uteri (-2.0%) and stomach (-1.4%). No significant change in incidence over the 10 years had occurred for cancers of the corpus uteri, breast, ovary or pancreas.
对新南威尔士州中央癌症登记处的数据进行了分析，这些数据涵盖了1973年至1982年这10年间15岁及以上人群中登记的所有癌症新病例，采用对数线性回归来确定新南威尔士州癌症发病率是否发生了变化。考虑到这一时期人口年龄和性别结构的变化，所有部位合并计算的年发病率在男性中显著上升了1.7%，在女性中上升了1.0%。发病率增长速度明显高于所有部位合并增长速度的癌症包括原发部位不明的癌症（每年8.7%）、肺癌（仅女性，5.6%）、肾癌（4.5%）、膀胱癌（2.7%）、直肠癌（2.6%）和淋巴瘤（2.6%）。本身发病率显著上升的其他癌症有睾丸癌（3.5%）、喉癌（3.2%）、前列腺癌（2.1%）、结肠癌（1.7%）、脑癌（1.6%）、白血病（1.3%）和肺癌（仅男性，0.7%）。发病率显著下降的癌症有食管癌（-2.2%）、子宫颈癌（-2.0%）和胃癌（-1.4%）。子宫体癌、乳腺癌、卵巢癌或胰腺癌在这10年期间发病率没有显著变化。
