Estes Jason P, Chen Yanjun, Şentürk Damla, Rhee Connie M, Kürüm Esra, You Amy S, Streja Elani, Kalantar-Zadeh Kamyar, Nguyen Danh V
Pratt & Whitney, East Hartford, Connecticut.
Institute for Clinical and Translational Science, University of California, Irvine, California.
Stat Med. 2020 Apr 30;39(9):1374-1389. doi: 10.1002/sim.8482. Epub 2020 Jan 30.
Profiling analysis aims to evaluate health care providers, such as hospitals, nursing homes, or dialysis facilities, with respect to a patient outcome. Previous profiling methods have considered binary outcomes, such as 30-day hospital readmission or mortality. For the unique population of dialysis patients, regular blood works are required to evaluate effectiveness of treatment and avoid adverse events, including dialysis inadequacy, imbalance mineral levels, and anemia among others. For example, anemic events (when hemoglobin levels exceed normative range) are recurrent and common for patients on dialysis. Thus, we propose high-dimensional Poisson and negative binomial regression models for rate/count outcomes and introduce a standardized event ratio measure to compare the event rate at a specific facility relative to a chosen normative standard, typically defined as an "average" national rate across all facilities. Our proposed estimation and inference procedures overcome the challenge of high-dimensional parameters for thousands of dialysis facilities. Also, we investigate how overdispersion affects inference in the context of profiling analysis. The proposed methods are illustrated with profiling dialysis facilities for recurrent anemia events.
概况分析旨在根据患者的治疗结果对医疗服务提供者进行评估,如医院、疗养院或透析机构。以往的概况分析方法考虑的是二元结果,如30天内再次入院或死亡率。对于透析患者这一特殊群体,需要定期进行血液检查以评估治疗效果并避免不良事件,包括透析不充分、矿物质水平失衡和贫血等。例如,贫血事件(当血红蛋白水平超过正常范围时)在透析患者中很常见且反复发生。因此,我们针对发生率/计数结果提出了高维泊松回归模型和负二项回归模型,并引入了标准化事件比率度量,以比较特定机构相对于选定的正常标准(通常定义为所有机构的“平均”全国比率)的事件发生率。我们提出的估计和推断程序克服了数千个透析机构高维参数的挑战。此外,我们还研究了过度离散在概况分析背景下对推断的影响。所提出的方法通过对透析机构复发性贫血事件的概况分析进行了说明。