University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee.
Am J Prev Med. 2020 Apr;58(4):487-495. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2019.10.022. Epub 2020 Jan 28.
Recommending both the conjugate and polysaccharide pneumococcal vaccines to all U.S. seniors may have little public health impact and be economically unreasonable. Public health impact and cost-effectiveness of using both vaccines in all adults aged ≥65 years were estimated compared with an alternative strategy (omitting pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in the nonimmunocompromised) and with the newly revised recommendation (giving or omitting conjugate vaccine based on patient-physician shared decision making).
Strategies were examined in hypothetical U.S. 65-year-old population cohorts and segmented into health states based on age- and population-specific data in a Markov state-transition model with a lifetime time horizon from a healthcare perspective. Black population cohorts were examined separately given greater illness risk and lower vaccine uptake. Model parameters came from the Centers for Disease Control Active Core Bacterial Surveillance network, National Health Interview Survey, and Nationwide Inpatient Sample data. Outcomes included incremental costs per quality-adjusted life year gained and pneumococcal disease outcomes for each strategy. Data were gathered and analysis performed in 2018.
Giving both vaccines, either routinely or with shared decision making, was most effective, reducing pneumococcal disease incidence compared with no vaccination, but costing $765,000-$2.18 million/quality-adjusted life year gained. Depending on examined population and scenario, the alternative strategy cost $65,700-$226,700/quality-adjusted life year gained (less in black populations) and reduced cases and deaths by 0.3%-0.9%.
A vaccination strategy that omits pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in immunocompetent U.S. seniors may be economically reasonable, particularly for black seniors. Use of both pneumococcal vaccines was more effective but substantially more expensive.
向所有美国老年人推荐结合疫苗和多糖疫苗可能对公共卫生影响不大,且在经济上不合理。与替代策略(非免疫功能低下的老年人不接种肺炎球菌结合疫苗)和新修订的建议(根据患者-医生共同决策接种或不接种结合疫苗)相比,评估了在所有≥65 岁成年人中使用这两种疫苗的公共卫生影响和成本效益。
在假设的美国 65 岁人群队列中检查了策略,并根据年龄和人群特定数据,在一个具有终生时间范围的 Markov 状态转换模型中,根据年龄和人群特定数据,将其划分为健康状态。鉴于黑人患病风险较高且疫苗接种率较低,因此分别对黑人队列进行了检查。模型参数来自疾病控制与预防中心主动核心细菌监测网络、国家健康访谈调查和全国住院样本数据。结果包括每种策略的增量成本每获得一个质量调整生命年以及肺炎球菌疾病结果。数据收集和分析于 2018 年进行。
常规接种或共同决策接种两种疫苗的效果最佳,与未接种疫苗相比,可降低肺炎球菌疾病的发病率,但成本为 76.5 万至 218 万美元/质量调整生命年。根据所检查的人群和情况,替代策略的成本为 65700 至 226700 美元/质量调整生命年(黑人人群的成本较低),可减少 0.3%至 0.9%的病例和死亡。
对于免疫功能正常的美国老年人,省略肺炎球菌结合疫苗的疫苗接种策略可能在经济上是合理的,尤其是对于黑人老年人。使用两种肺炎球菌疫苗更有效,但成本要高得多。