Piegorsch W W, Casella G
Division of Biometry and Risk Assessment, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709.
Biometrics. 1988 Sep;44(3):739-50.
Confidence bands are constructed for the logistic response function when there is an interval restriction on each of the predictor variables. The construction involves application of a general fitting procedure using Scheffé's S-method, described by Casella and Strawderman (1980, Journal of the American Statistical Association 75, 862-868). Specific details are given for the case of one predictor variable, along with details for a fixed-width alternative to the S-method bands. In the one-predictor case, Monte Carlo results suggest that both bands are conservative for small sample sizes, such as N = 25. By N = 200 the S-method's coverage probabilities are seen to attain their nominal levels while the fixed-width bands remain conservative. The procedures are exemplified with data from a genetic toxicology experiment.
当每个预测变量存在区间限制时,为逻辑响应函数构建置信带。构建过程涉及使用由卡塞拉和斯特劳德曼(1980年,《美国统计协会杂志》75卷,862 - 868页)描述的谢费尔S方法的一般拟合程序。给出了单个预测变量情况的具体细节,以及S方法带的固定宽度替代方法的细节。在单预测变量情况下,蒙特卡罗结果表明,对于小样本量(如N = 25),两种带都是保守的。到N = 200时,可以看到S方法的覆盖概率达到其名义水平,而固定宽度带仍然保守。这些程序通过一个遗传毒理学实验的数据进行了举例说明。