Thomas-Bachli Andrea L, Pearl David L, Parmley E Jane, Berke Olaf
Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada.
Canadian Wildlife Health Cooperative, University of Guelph, Department of Pathology, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada.
Front Vet Sci. 2020 Jan 22;6:483. doi: 10.3389/fvets.2019.00483. eCollection 2019.
West Nile virus (WNv) was introduced into North America in 1999, and by 2002 was identified in most regions of Ontario, Canada. Surveillance of WNv included testing of corvids found dead and reported by citizens across Ontario, which at the time was a novel citizen science application for disease surveillance. While this surveillance program was successful for timely identification of WNv as it emerged and spread across the province, it is important to consider the influence of non-disease factors on surveillance data collected by the public. The objective of this study was to examine associations between rates of citizen phone reports of dead corvids and sociodemographic factors within the geographic areas where the reports were obtained. The data were grouped by forward sortation area (FSA), a geographical area based upon postal codes, which was linked with census data. Associations between the weekly rate of citizen reports and FSA-level sociodemographic factors were measured using multilevel negative binomial models. There were 12,295 phone call reports of dead corvids made by citizens in 83.3% of Ontario FSAs. Factors associated with the weekly rate of phone reports included the proportion of high-rise housing, the proportion of households with children, the proportion of seniors in the population, the proportion of citizens with no knowledge of either official language and the latitude of the FSA. There were higher rates of citizen phone reports in FSAs with <80% high-rise housing and greater proportions of households with children. A positive and negative association in the rate of calls with the proportion of seniors and latitude of the FSA, respectively, were moderated by the proportion of the population with knowledge of official language(s). Understanding the sociodemographic characteristics associated with citizen reporting rates of sentinels for disease surveillance can be used to inform advanced cluster detection methods such as applying the spatial scan test with normal distribution on residuals from a regression model to reduce confounding. In citizen-derived data collected for disease surveillance, this type of approach can be helpful to improve the interpretation of cluster detection results beyond what is expected.
西尼罗河病毒(WNv)于1999年传入北美,到2002年在加拿大安大略省的大部分地区都有发现。对WNv的监测包括对安大略省各地公民发现并报告的死亡鸦科鸟类进行检测,这在当时是一种用于疾病监测的新型公民科学应用。虽然这个监测项目在及时发现WNv在全省出现和传播方面很成功,但考虑非疾病因素对公众收集的监测数据的影响很重要。本研究的目的是检查在获得报告的地理区域内,公民报告死亡鸦科鸟类的比率与社会人口学因素之间的关联。数据按前向排序区域(FSA)分组,FSA是一个基于邮政编码的地理区域,并与人口普查数据相关联。使用多级负二项式模型测量公民报告的每周比率与FSA层面社会人口学因素之间的关联。安大略省83.3%的FSA中有公民拨打了12295个关于死亡鸦科鸟类的电话报告。与每周电话报告比率相关的因素包括高层住宅的比例、有孩子家庭的比例、人口中老年人的比例、不懂任何一种官方语言的公民比例以及FSA的纬度。在高层住宅比例低于80%且有孩子家庭比例更高的FSA中,公民电话报告率更高。分别与老年人比例和FSA纬度的电话报告率呈正相关和负相关的关系,会因懂官方语言的人口比例而有所缓和。了解与疾病监测哨兵公民报告率相关的社会人口学特征,可用于为先进的聚类检测方法提供信息,例如对回归模型的残差应用正态分布的空间扫描检验以减少混杂因素。在为疾病监测收集的公民衍生数据中这种方法有助于改进超出预期的聚类检测结果的解释。