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基于风险因素的贝叶斯网络建模对不同严重程度肺癌患者生存预后的分析。

Survivability Prognosis for Lung Cancer Patients at Different Severity Stages by a Risk Factor-Based Bayesian Network Modeling.

机构信息

Department of Industrial Management, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, No.43, Sec. 4, Keelung Rd., Da'an Dist., Taipei, 106, Taiwan, People's Republic of China.

CTBC Financial Management College, No. 600, Sec. 3, Taijiang Blvd., Annan District, Tainan City, 709, Taiwan, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

J Med Syst. 2020 Feb 10;44(3):65. doi: 10.1007/s10916-020-1537-5.

Abstract

Lung cancer is a major reason of mortalities. Estimating the survivability for this disease has become a key issue to families, hospitals, and countries. A conditional Gaussian Bayesian network model was presented in this study. This model considered 15 risk factors to predict the survivability of a lung cancer patient at 4 severity stages. We surveyed 1075 patients. The presented model is constructed by using the demographic, diagnosed-based, and prior-utilization variables. The proposed model for the survivability prognosis at different four stages performed R of 93.57%, 86.83%, 67.22%, and 52.94%, respectively. The model predicted the lung cancer survivability with high accuracy compared with the reported models. Our model also shows that it reached the ceiling of an ideal Bayesian network.

摘要

肺癌是导致死亡的主要原因之一。评估这种疾病的生存率已成为家庭、医院和国家的关键问题。本研究提出了一种条件高斯贝叶斯网络模型。该模型考虑了 15 个风险因素,以预测肺癌患者在 4 个严重程度阶段的生存率。我们调查了 1075 名患者。该模型是通过使用人口统计学、诊断和既往使用变量构建的。提出的用于不同四个阶段的生存率预测模型的 R 值分别为 93.57%、86.83%、67.22%和 52.94%。与报告的模型相比,该模型对肺癌生存率的预测具有较高的准确性。我们的模型还表明,它已经达到了理想贝叶斯网络的上限。

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