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一项来自监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库的新型列线图,用于预测胆囊癌患者术后的预后。

A new nomogram from the SEER database for predicting the prognosis of gallbladder cancer patients after surgery.

作者信息

Xiao Zunqiang, Shi Zhan, Hu Linjun, Gao Yuling, Zhao Junjun, Liu Yang, Xu Qiuran, Huang Dongsheng

机构信息

The Second Clinical Medical College of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou 310014, China.

The Medical College of Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China.

出版信息

Ann Transl Med. 2019 Dec;7(23):738. doi: 10.21037/atm.2019.11.112.


DOI:10.21037/atm.2019.11.112
PMID:32042754
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6989982/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: To study the prognostic significance in gallbladder cancer (GBC) patients of the four N stage methods of log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), lymph node ratio (LNR), and N stage in the 7th and 8 editions of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC), and to establish a prognostic model of GBC based on LODDS. METHODS: Data of 1,321 patients with GBC who underwent surgical resection of lymph nodes from 2010 to 2014 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We then randomly divided these data into a training set (n=925) and a validation set (n=396). C-index, Akaike information criterion (AIC), and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated to evaluate the accuracy of LODDS, LNR, and N stage in the 7 and 8 editions of the AJCC. Cox multivariate analysis was performed to determine whether LODDS was an independent prognostic factor, and a nomogram model was established. C-index was used to evaluate the accuracy of the nomogram. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn and the area under the AUC was calculated to evaluate the accuracy of the nomogram in predicting patients' 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed that the four methods were all correlated with OS. Through C-index, AIC and AUC, We found that LODDS had the best accuracy of the four methods. C-index and AUC analysis revealed that the nomogram based on LODDS had excellent prognostic ability. All the results were verified in the validation set. CONCLUSIONS: LODDS is an independent prognostic factor for GBC patients, and it is the best N stage in the SEER database. This new nomogram-containing LODDS system is a great model to predict the prognosis of GBC patients.

摘要

背景:研究美国癌症联合委员会(AJCC)第7版和第8版中阳性淋巴结对数比(LODDS)、淋巴结比率(LNR)以及N分期这四种N分期方法对胆囊癌(GBC)患者的预后意义,并基于LODDS建立GBC的预后模型。 方法:收集2010年至2014年接受淋巴结手术切除的1321例GBC患者的数据,数据来自监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库。然后将这些数据随机分为训练集(n = 925)和验证集(n = 396)。计算C指数、赤池信息准则(AIC)和曲线下面积(AUC),以评估AJCC第7版和第8版中LODDS、LNR和N分期的准确性。进行Cox多因素分析以确定LODDS是否为独立预后因素,并建立列线图模型。使用C指数评估列线图的准确性。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线并计算AUC,以评估列线图预测患者1年、3年和5年总生存(OS)的准确性。 结果:单因素分析显示这四种方法均与OS相关。通过C指数、AIC和AUC,我们发现LODDS在这四种方法中准确性最佳。C指数和AUC分析显示基于LODDS的列线图具有出色的预后能力。所有结果在验证集中均得到验证。 结论:LODDS是GBC患者的独立预后因素,且是SEER数据库中最佳的N分期。这个包含LODDS的新列线图系统是预测GBC患者预后的优秀模型。

相似文献

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Ann Transl Med. 2019-12

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[7]
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引用本文的文献

[1]
Assessment of nodal staging and risk factors for nodal involvement in gallbladder cancer.

BJS Open. 2025-5-7

[2]
Development and External Validation of a Nomogram Predicting Early Recurrence of Gallbladder Cancer Using Preoperatively Available Prognosticators: A Korean Multicenter Retrospective Study.

Cancers (Basel). 2025-4-26

[3]
Advantage of Log Odds of Metastatic Lymph Nodes After Curative-Intent Resection of Gallbladder Cancer.

Ann Surg Oncol. 2025-3

[4]
Research progress on prognostic factors of gallbladder carcinoma.

J Cancer Res Clin Oncol. 2024-10-6

[5]
Incidental gallbladder cancer detected during laparoscopic cholecystectomy: conversion to extensive resection is a feasible choice.

Front Surg. 2024-9-5

[6]
Log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS)-based novel nomogram for survival estimation in patients with invasive micropapillary carcinoma of the breast.

BMC Med Res Methodol. 2024-4-18

[7]
Estimating the influencing factors for T1b/T2 gallbladder cancer on survival and surgical approaches selection.

Cancer Med. 2023-8

[8]
Effects of surgery on survival of elderly patients with gallbladder cancer: A propensity score matching analysis of the SEER database.

Front Oncol. 2023-3-1

[9]
Development and validation of a nomogram to predict overall survival in patients with incidental gallbladder cancer: A retrospective cohort study.

Front Oncol. 2023-1-24

[10]
Development and validation of prognostic nomograms in patients with gallbladder mucinous adenocarcinoma: A population-based study.

Front Oncol. 2022-12-14

本文引用的文献

[1]
Validation of the prognostic performance in various nodal staging systems for gallbladder cancer: results of a multicenter study.

Langenbecks Arch Surg. 2019-8-14

[2]
Prognostic role of nodal ratio, LODDS, pN in patients with pancreatic cancer with venous involvement.

BMC Surg. 2017-11-23

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External Validation of a Survival Nomogram for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Using the National Cancer Database.

Ann Surg Oncol. 2017-6

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CA Cancer J Clin. 2017-1-17

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Incorporation of log odds of positive lymph nodes into the AJCC TNM classification improves prediction of survival in oral cancer.

Clin Otolaryngol. 2017-4

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Prognostic Implications of Lymph Node Status for Patients With Gallbladder Cancer: A Multi-Institutional Study.

Ann Surg Oncol. 2016-9

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Survival analysis following resection of AJCC stage III gallbladder carcinoma based on different combinations of T and N stages.

Korean J Hepatobiliary Pancreat Surg. 2015-2

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Prognostic value of different lymph node staging methods in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after esophagectomy.

Ann Thorac Surg. 2015-1

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Lymph node status after resection for gallbladder adenocarcinoma: prognostic implications of different nodal staging/scoring systems.

J Surg Oncol. 2015-3

[10]
Lymph node metastases in patients undergoing surgery for a gallbladder cancer. Extension of the lymph node dissection and prognostic value of the lymph node ratio.

Ann Surg Oncol. 2015-3

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