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支持气候工程的部署:十种不同技术的比较。

Support for the Deployment of Climate Engineering: A Comparison of Ten Different Technologies.

机构信息

ETH Zurich, Institute for Environmental Decisions (IED), Universitätstrasse 22, 8092, Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2020 May;40(5):1058-1078. doi: 10.1111/risa.13462. Epub 2020 Feb 28.

Abstract

Due to the renewed increase in CO emissions seen in recent years, the deployment of climate engineering technologies might become necessary if the global temperature increase is to be kept within 1.5 °C. If climate engineering is to be deployed, however, public support is required. The present study hence compared public support for a broad range of climate engineering technologies. Further, the factors that drive public support were investigated and compared across the technologies. In an online survey conducted in Switzerland, respondents (n = 1,575) were randomly allocated to the description of 1 of 10 climate engineering technologies, of which 7 were specific carbon dioxide removal measures and 3 were solar radiation management measures. The results show that the level of public support for afforestation was the highest. The levels of public support for the other climate engineering technologies were relatively similar, although a tendency for solar radiation management to have a lower level of support was identified. Across all the investigated climate engineering technologies, the perceived benefits were an important driver of public support. Additionally, for all the technologies but afforestation, a higher level of trust in industry/science/government increased the level of public support, whereas the factor perceived risks and tampering with nature was found to be a negative predictor of support. The present findings suggest that there are opportunities available for the deployment of several climate engineering technologies in combination with other mitigation measures. Communicating the benefits of such technologies might be an effective strategy in terms of fostering increased support.

摘要

由于近年来二氧化碳排放量的再次增加,如果要将全球温度升高控制在 1.5°C 以内,可能有必要部署气候工程技术。然而,如果要部署气候工程,就需要得到公众的支持。因此,本研究比较了公众对广泛的气候工程技术的支持。此外,还调查并比较了推动公众支持的因素在这些技术中的差异。在瑞士进行的一项在线调查中,受访者(n=1575)被随机分配到对 10 种气候工程技术中的 1 种的描述中,其中 7 种是特定的二氧化碳去除措施,3 种是太阳辐射管理措施。结果表明,植树造林的公众支持水平最高。其他气候工程技术的公众支持水平相对相似,尽管有迹象表明太阳辐射管理的支持水平较低。在所有调查的气候工程技术中,感知到的好处是公众支持的一个重要驱动因素。此外,对于除植树造林以外的所有技术,对行业/科学/政府的信任度提高会增加公众的支持水平,而感知到的风险和对自然的干扰因素则被认为是支持的负面预测因素。本研究结果表明,有机会结合其他缓解措施部署几种气候工程技术。宣传这些技术的好处可能是增加支持的有效策略。

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