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关于干预自然的观念如何影响对增强型地热系统的支持:一项跨国研究。

How beliefs about tampering with nature influence support for enhanced geothermal systems: A cross-national study.

作者信息

Cousse Julia, McComas Katherine, Lambert Catherine, Balog-Way Dominic, Trutnevyte Evelina

机构信息

Renewable Energy Systems, Institute for Environmental Sciences (ISE), Section of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.

Department of Communication, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2025 May;45(5):1152-1166. doi: 10.1111/risa.17656. Epub 2024 Oct 8.

Abstract

Many believe that enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) can greatly increase the extraction of geothermal energy worldwide, helping to decarbonize heat and electricity production. Effective communication is key to realizing the potential of EGS, yet we currently know little about how the public perceives this emerging technology. This exploratory study contributes to the literature with a cross-national survey in the United States (n = 1003) and Switzerland (n = 1028), two countries with active EGS projects. Specifically, we explore how EGS support relates to beliefs about the deep underground and perceptions of EGS as tampering with nature. The results show that respondents tend to perceive the deep underground as part of nature, dangerous, and unpredictable. The majority are positive about using the deep underground as a resource, although there were variations regarding specific underground activities. In both countries, EGS support is greater for respondents who perceive the underground as something for human use, perceive more benefits than risks from EGS, and support their country's transition to renewable energy. In Switzerland, EGS support is positively related to trust in industry developers and negatively related to perceptions that EGS is tampering with nature. The results offer novel theoretical insights into perceptions of the deep underground in relation to energy development. From a practical standpoint, the results suggest that those seeking to develop EGS may want to consider how to familiarize individuals with current subsurface energy activities, including efforts to protect the underground from unwanted consequences of "tampering," alongside engaging in discussions about the risks and benefits of EGS.

摘要

许多人认为,增强型地热系统(EGS)能够大幅提高全球地热能的开采量,有助于实现供热和发电的脱碳。有效的沟通是实现EGS潜力的关键,但目前我们对公众如何看待这项新兴技术知之甚少。这项探索性研究通过在美国(n = 1003)和瑞士(n = 1028)这两个有活跃EGS项目的国家进行跨国调查,为相关文献做出了贡献。具体而言,我们探讨了对EGS的支持与对深层地下的认知以及将EGS视为对自然的干预之间的关系。结果表明,受访者倾向于将深层地下视为自然的一部分,认为其危险且不可预测。大多数人对将深层地下作为一种资源持积极态度,尽管在具体的地下活动方面存在差异。在这两个国家,对于那些将地下视为人类可用之物、认为EGS的好处多于风险且支持本国向可再生能源转型的受访者,对EGS的支持度更高。在瑞士,对EGS的支持与对行业开发者的信任呈正相关,与认为EGS正在干预自然的认知呈负相关。这些结果为与能源开发相关的深层地下认知提供了新的理论见解。从实际角度来看,结果表明,那些寻求开发EGS的人可能需要考虑如何让人们熟悉当前的地下能源活动,包括努力保护地下免受“干预”带来的不良后果,同时开展关于EGS风险和益处的讨论。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2669/12087729/f43590eb7ec7/RISA-45-1152-g002.jpg

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