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新希望还是幻影威胁?探索30个国家的气候情绪与公众对气候干预措施的支持度。

A new hope or phantom menace? Exploring climate emotions and public support for climate interventions across 30 countries.

作者信息

Baum Chad M, Brutschin Elina, Fritz Livia, Sovacool Benjamin K

机构信息

Department of Business Development and Technology, Aarhus University, Herning, Denmark.

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2025 Aug;45(8):2323-2340. doi: 10.1111/risa.17713. Epub 2025 Mar 15.

Abstract

Emotions are central to human experiences of climate change. Empirical research demonstrates their importance for climate perceptions and climate-related behaviors. The intensifying severity of climate change prompts consideration of emerging, potentially controversial technologies. Alongside mitigation and adaptation, climate intervention proposes to remove carbon dioxide from ambient air (carbon dioxide removal, CDR) or reflect sunlight away from the Earth (solar radiation modification, SRM). Although such options arouse emotional reactions of diverse kinds, the intersection between climate emotions and climate intervention has received limited attention. This article employed a unique, global dataset with 30,284 participants across 30 countries (in 19 languages) to provide insights on 3 questions. We first leveraged the global dataset to map the incidence of fear, hope, anger, sadness, and worry across countries-the first time the climate emotions of adults are investigated on this scale. We also identified significant differences in emotions by level of development, with those in advanced economies reporting weaker levels of climate emotions. Second, using multiple linear regression analyses, we explored the relationship between climate emotions and support for climate-intervention technologies. We determined that the emotions of hope and worry seem to be the most consistently (positively) correlated. Third, we explored if reading about technology categories differentially affected climate emotions. Individuals randomly assigned to read about ecosystems-based CDR were significantly more hopeful about climate change (those about SRM the least). Together, our results provide the first global-level evidence of the relationship between discrete climate emotions and perceptions and support of climate interventions.

摘要

情感是人类气候变化体验的核心。实证研究表明了它们对气候认知和气候相关行为的重要性。气候变化愈发严重,促使人们考虑新兴的、可能存在争议的技术。除了缓解和适应措施外,气候干预提议从周围空气中去除二氧化碳(二氧化碳去除,CDR)或使阳光反射离开地球(太阳辐射改造,SRM)。尽管这些选择引发了各种各样的情感反应,但气候情感与气候干预之间的交叉点却受到了有限的关注。本文使用了一个独特的全球数据集,该数据集涵盖30个国家的30284名参与者(使用19种语言),以回答3个问题。我们首先利用这个全球数据集来绘制各国恐惧、希望、愤怒、悲伤和担忧情绪的发生率——这是首次在如此规模上对成年人的气候情感进行调查。我们还发现,不同发展水平的国家在情感方面存在显著差异,发达经济体国家的气候情感水平较低。其次,通过多元线性回归分析,我们探讨了气候情感与对气候干预技术的支持之间的关系。我们确定,希望和担忧情绪似乎是最一致(正向)相关的。第三,我们探究了阅读不同技术类别是否会对气候情感产生不同影响。被随机分配阅读基于生态系统的CDR相关内容的个体对气候变化明显更抱有希望(阅读SRM相关内容的个体最不抱有希望)。总之,我们的研究结果首次提供了全球层面的证据,证明离散的气候情感与对气候干预的认知及支持之间的关系。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5eca/12411122/1b612a253509/RISA-45-2323-g001.jpg

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