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我们应该为天花的再次出现做好准备。

[We should be prepared to smallpox re-emergence.].

作者信息

Shchelkunov S N, Shchelkunova G A

机构信息

State Research Center of Virology and Biotechnology VECTOR, Koltsovo, Novosibirsk region, 630559, Russia.

出版信息

Vopr Virusol. 2019;64(5):206-214. doi: 10.36233/0507-4088-2019-64-5-206-214.

Abstract

The review contains a brief analysis of the results of investigations conducted during 40 years after smallpox eradication and directed to study genomic organization and evolution of variola virus (VARV) and development of modern diagnostics, vaccines and chemotherapies of smallpox and other zoonotic orthopoxviral infections of humans. Taking into account that smallpox vaccination in several cases had adverse side effects, WHO recommended ceasing this vaccination after 1980 in all countries of the world. The result of this decision is that the mankind lost the collective immunity not only to smallpox, but also to other zoonotic orthopoxvirus infections. The ever more frequently recorded human cases of zoonotic orthopoxvirus infections force to renew consideration of the problem of possible smallpox reemergence resulting from natural evolution of these viruses. Analysis of the available archive data on smallpox epidemics, the history of ancient civilizations, and the newest data on the evolutionary relationship of orthopoxviruses has allowed us to hypothesize that VARV could have repeatedly reemerged via evolutionary changes in a zoonotic ancestor virus and then disappeared because of insufficient population size of isolated ancient civilizations. Only the historically last smallpox pandemic continued for a long time and was contained and stopped in the 20th century thanks to the joint efforts of medics and scientists from many countries under the aegis of WHO. Thus, there is no fundamental prohibition on potential reemergence of smallpox or a similar human disease in future in the course of natural evolution of the currently existing zoonotic orthopoxviruses. Correspondingly, it is of the utmost importance to develop and widely adopt state-of-the-art methods for efficient and rapid species-specific diagnosis of all orthopoxvirus species pathogenic for humans, VARV included. It is also most important to develop new safe methods for prevention and therapy of human orthopoxvirus infections.

摘要

这篇综述简要分析了天花根除后40年间开展的调查结果,这些调查旨在研究天花病毒(VARV)的基因组组织与进化,以及现代天花诊断方法、疫苗和化疗药物的研发,还有其他人类人畜共患正痘病毒感染的相关情况。考虑到天花疫苗在某些情况下会产生不良副作用,世界卫生组织建议1980年后在世界所有国家停止接种该疫苗。这一决定的结果是,人类不仅失去了对天花的群体免疫力,也失去了对其他人畜共患正痘病毒感染的群体免疫力。人畜共患正痘病毒感染的人类病例记录越来越频繁,这迫使人们重新考虑这些病毒自然进化导致天花可能再次出现的问题。对现有的天花流行档案数据、古代文明史以及正痘病毒进化关系的最新数据进行分析后,我们推测VARV可能通过人畜共患祖先病毒的进化变化多次重新出现,然后由于孤立古代文明的人口规模不足而消失。只有历史上最后一次天花大流行持续了很长时间,并在20世纪,在世界卫生组织的支持下,经过许多国家的医护人员和科学家的共同努力才得到控制并停止。因此,在当前现有的人畜共患正痘病毒自然进化过程中,未来天花或类似人类疾病的潜在再次出现并没有根本的禁止因素。相应地,开发并广泛采用针对所有对人类致病的正痘病毒物种,包括VARV,进行高效快速的物种特异性诊断的先进方法至关重要。开发新的安全方法来预防和治疗人类正痘病毒感染也同样重要。

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