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乌克兰基辅市大气空气污染对当地居民的风险评估。

Risk Assessment for the Population of Kyiv, Ukraine as a Result of Atmospheric Air Pollution.

作者信息

Popov Oleksandr, Iatsyshyn Andrii, Kovach Valeriia, Artemchuk Volodymyr, Kameneva Iryna, Taraduda Dmytro, Sobyna Vitaliy, Sokolov Dmitry, Dement Maksim, Yatsyshyn Teodoziia

机构信息

State Institution, Institute of Environmental Geochemistry of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine.

Pukhov Institute for Modelling in Energy Engineering of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kiev, Ukraine.

出版信息

J Health Pollut. 2020 Jan 22;10(25):200303. doi: 10.5696/2156-9614-10.25.200303. eCollection 2020 Mar.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

According to the World Health Organization, 92% of the world's population lives in places where air quality levels exceed recommended limits. Recently, Ukraine had the most deaths per every 100,000 people (out of 120 countries) attributed to atmospheric air pollution. High levels of atmospheric air pollution have been observed not only in typically industrial regions, but in Ukraine's capital, Kyiv, as well.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the present study was to establish the state of air pollution in Kyiv and perform a risk assessment of associated human health effects.

METHODS

Using official statistics and state monitoring data, the study aimed to identify and analyze risks to the health of Kyiv's population associated with air pollution. The following methods were used: systematic, functional and comparative analysis, risk theory, mathematical modeling, probability theory and mathematical statistics, as well as geographic information system technologies for digital map design and objective-oriented methodology for software design systems.

RESULTS

The risk values across different areas of the city varied significantly, indicating that atmospheric air quality remains unstable. Areas with the highest and lowest risk values were identified.

CONCLUSIONS

The environmental state of atmospheric air in Kyiv requires greater attention and additional research to identify the causes of air pollution, along with implementation of measures to improve air quality.

COMPETING INTERESTS

The authors declare no competing financial interests.

摘要

背景

根据世界卫生组织的数据,世界上92%的人口生活在空气质量超过推荐限值的地方。最近,在每10万人的死亡人数中(在120个国家中),乌克兰因大气空气污染导致的死亡人数最多。不仅在典型的工业区,而且在乌克兰首都基辅,都观察到了高水平的大气空气污染。

目的

本研究的目的是确定基辅的空气污染状况,并对相关的人类健康影响进行风险评估。

方法

利用官方统计数据和国家监测数据,该研究旨在识别和分析与空气污染相关的基辅居民健康风险。采用了以下方法:系统分析、功能分析和比较分析、风险理论、数学建模、概率论和数理统计,以及用于数字地图设计的地理信息系统技术和用于软件设计系统的面向目标方法。

结果

城市不同区域的风险值差异显著,表明大气空气质量仍然不稳定。确定了风险值最高和最低的区域。

结论

基辅大气的环境状况需要更多关注和进一步研究,以确定空气污染的原因,并采取改善空气质量的措施。

利益冲突

作者声明不存在相互竞争的财务利益。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6386/7058139/a7069882a954/i2156-9614-10-25-200303-f01.jpg

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