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细颗粒物(PM2.5)对马德里(西班牙)循环系统疾病所致每日死亡率的短期影响。

Short-term effect of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5) on daily mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system in Madrid (Spain).

机构信息

Department of Preventive Medicine, Clinical University Teaching Hospital, Valladolid, Spain.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2010 Nov 1;408(23):5750-7. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2010.07.083. Epub 2010 Sep 9.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Owing to their small size, fine particles, i.e., those having a diameter ≤ 2.5 μm (PM(2.5)), have a high alveolar penetration capacity, thereby triggering a local inflammatory process with circulatory repercussion. Despite being linked to respiratory and cardiovascular morbidities, there is limited evidence of an association between this type of particulate matter and short-term increases in mortality.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to analyse and quantify the short-term impact of PM(2.5) on daily mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system, registered in Madrid from 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2005.

METHODS

An ecological longitudinal time-series study was conducted, with risks being quantified by means of Poisson regression models. As a dependent variable, we took daily mortality registered in Madrid from 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2005, attributed to all diseases of the circulatory system as classified under heads I00-I99 of the International Classification of Diseases-10th revision (ICD-10) and broken down as follows: I21, acute myocardial infarction (AMI); I20, I22-I25, other ischemic heart diseases; and I60-I69, cerebrovascular diseases. The independent variable was daily mean PM(2.5) concentration. The other variables controlled for were: chemical pollution (PM(10), O(3), SO(2), NO(2) and NO(x)); acoustic and biotic pollution; influenza; minimum and maximum temperatures; seasonalities; trend; and autocorrelation of the series.

RESULTS

A linear relationship was observed between PM(2.5) levels and mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system. For every increase of 10 μg/m(3) in daily mean PM(2.5) concentration, the relative risks (RR) were as follows: for overall circulatory mortality, associations were established at lags 2 and 6, with RR of 1.022 (1.005-1.039) and 1.025 (1.007-1.043) respectively; and for AMI mortality, there was an association at lag 6, with an RR of 1.066 (1.032-1.100). The corresponding attributable risks percent (AR%) were 2.16%, 2.47% and 6.21% respectively. No statistically significant association was found with other ischemic heart diseases or with cerebrovascular diseases.

CONCLUSION

PM(2.5) concentrations are an important risk factor for daily circulatory-cause mortality in Madrid. From a public health point of view, the planning and implementation of specific measures targeted at reducing these levels constitute a pressing need.

摘要

简介

由于其粒径小、细颗粒,即直径≤2.5μm 的颗粒(PM(2.5)),具有很高的肺泡穿透能力,从而引发具有循环影响的局部炎症过程。尽管与呼吸道和心血管疾病有关,但这种类型的颗粒物与短期死亡率升高之间的关联证据有限。

目的

本研究旨在分析和量化 PM(2.5)对马德里 2003 年 1 月 1 日至 2005 年 12 月 31 日期间因循环系统疾病导致的每日死亡率的短期影响。

方法

进行了一项生态纵向时间序列研究,通过泊松回归模型量化风险。作为因变量,我们采用了马德里 2003 年 1 月 1 日至 2005 年 12 月 31 日期间登记的因所有循环系统疾病导致的每日死亡率,这些疾病根据国际疾病分类第 10 版(ICD-10)的 I00-I99 头分类,并细分为以下疾病:I21,急性心肌梗死(AMI);I20、I22-I25,其他缺血性心脏病;和 I60-I69,脑血管病。 自变量为每日平均 PM(2.5)浓度。控制的其他变量有:化学污染(PM(10)、O(3)、SO(2)、NO(2)和 NO(x));声污染和生物污染;流感;最低和最高温度;季节性;趋势;和序列的自相关。

结果

观察到 PM(2.5)水平与循环系统疾病死亡率之间存在线性关系。每日平均 PM(2.5)浓度每增加 10μg/m(3),相对风险(RR)如下:对于整体循环系统死亡率,在滞后 2 和 6 时观察到关联,RR 分别为 1.022(1.005-1.039)和 1.025(1.007-1.043);对于 AMI 死亡率,在滞后 6 时存在关联,RR 为 1.066(1.032-1.100)。相应的归因风险百分比(AR%)分别为 2.16%、2.47%和 6.21%。与其他缺血性心脏病或脑血管疾病没有发现统计学上显著的关联。

结论

PM(2.5)浓度是马德里每日循环系统死亡率的一个重要危险因素。从公共卫生的角度来看,规划和实施针对降低这些水平的具体措施是当务之急。

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