Department of Preventive Medicine, Clinical University Teaching Hospital, Valladolid, Spain.
Sci Total Environ. 2010 Nov 1;408(23):5750-7. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2010.07.083. Epub 2010 Sep 9.
Owing to their small size, fine particles, i.e., those having a diameter ≤ 2.5 μm (PM(2.5)), have a high alveolar penetration capacity, thereby triggering a local inflammatory process with circulatory repercussion. Despite being linked to respiratory and cardiovascular morbidities, there is limited evidence of an association between this type of particulate matter and short-term increases in mortality.
The aim of this study was to analyse and quantify the short-term impact of PM(2.5) on daily mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system, registered in Madrid from 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2005.
An ecological longitudinal time-series study was conducted, with risks being quantified by means of Poisson regression models. As a dependent variable, we took daily mortality registered in Madrid from 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2005, attributed to all diseases of the circulatory system as classified under heads I00-I99 of the International Classification of Diseases-10th revision (ICD-10) and broken down as follows: I21, acute myocardial infarction (AMI); I20, I22-I25, other ischemic heart diseases; and I60-I69, cerebrovascular diseases. The independent variable was daily mean PM(2.5) concentration. The other variables controlled for were: chemical pollution (PM(10), O(3), SO(2), NO(2) and NO(x)); acoustic and biotic pollution; influenza; minimum and maximum temperatures; seasonalities; trend; and autocorrelation of the series.
A linear relationship was observed between PM(2.5) levels and mortality due to diseases of the circulatory system. For every increase of 10 μg/m(3) in daily mean PM(2.5) concentration, the relative risks (RR) were as follows: for overall circulatory mortality, associations were established at lags 2 and 6, with RR of 1.022 (1.005-1.039) and 1.025 (1.007-1.043) respectively; and for AMI mortality, there was an association at lag 6, with an RR of 1.066 (1.032-1.100). The corresponding attributable risks percent (AR%) were 2.16%, 2.47% and 6.21% respectively. No statistically significant association was found with other ischemic heart diseases or with cerebrovascular diseases.
PM(2.5) concentrations are an important risk factor for daily circulatory-cause mortality in Madrid. From a public health point of view, the planning and implementation of specific measures targeted at reducing these levels constitute a pressing need.
由于其粒径小、细颗粒,即直径≤2.5μm 的颗粒(PM(2.5)),具有很高的肺泡穿透能力,从而引发具有循环影响的局部炎症过程。尽管与呼吸道和心血管疾病有关,但这种类型的颗粒物与短期死亡率升高之间的关联证据有限。
本研究旨在分析和量化 PM(2.5)对马德里 2003 年 1 月 1 日至 2005 年 12 月 31 日期间因循环系统疾病导致的每日死亡率的短期影响。
进行了一项生态纵向时间序列研究,通过泊松回归模型量化风险。作为因变量,我们采用了马德里 2003 年 1 月 1 日至 2005 年 12 月 31 日期间登记的因所有循环系统疾病导致的每日死亡率,这些疾病根据国际疾病分类第 10 版(ICD-10)的 I00-I99 头分类,并细分为以下疾病:I21,急性心肌梗死(AMI);I20、I22-I25,其他缺血性心脏病;和 I60-I69,脑血管病。 自变量为每日平均 PM(2.5)浓度。控制的其他变量有:化学污染(PM(10)、O(3)、SO(2)、NO(2)和 NO(x));声污染和生物污染;流感;最低和最高温度;季节性;趋势;和序列的自相关。
观察到 PM(2.5)水平与循环系统疾病死亡率之间存在线性关系。每日平均 PM(2.5)浓度每增加 10μg/m(3),相对风险(RR)如下:对于整体循环系统死亡率,在滞后 2 和 6 时观察到关联,RR 分别为 1.022(1.005-1.039)和 1.025(1.007-1.043);对于 AMI 死亡率,在滞后 6 时存在关联,RR 为 1.066(1.032-1.100)。相应的归因风险百分比(AR%)分别为 2.16%、2.47%和 6.21%。与其他缺血性心脏病或脑血管疾病没有发现统计学上显著的关联。
PM(2.5)浓度是马德里每日循环系统死亡率的一个重要危险因素。从公共卫生的角度来看,规划和实施针对降低这些水平的具体措施是当务之急。