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评 Ferguson 等人的“减少 COVID-19 死亡率和医疗需求的非药物干预(NPIs)的影响”一文。

Commentary on Ferguson, et al., "Impact of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID-19 Mortality and Healthcare Demand".

机构信息

Biocomplexity Institute and Initiative, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, USA.

Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, USA.

出版信息

Bull Math Biol. 2020 Apr 8;82(4):52. doi: 10.1007/s11538-020-00726-x.

Abstract

A recent manuscript (Ferguson et al. in Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand, Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, London, 2020. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf) from Imperial College modelers examining ways to mitigate and control the spread of COVID-19 has attracted much attention. In this paper, we will discuss a coarse taxonomy of models and explore the context and significance of the Imperial College and other models in contributing to the analysis of COVID-19.

摘要

一篇最近的论文(Ferguson 等人,《非药物干预(NPIs)对降低 COVID-19 死亡率和医疗需求的影响》,帝国理工学院 COVID-19 应对小组,伦敦,2020 年。https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf),来自帝国理工学院的建模人员,研究了减轻和控制 COVID-19 传播的方法,引起了广泛关注。在本文中,我们将讨论模型的粗分类法,并探讨帝国理工学院和其他模型在分析 COVID-19 方面的背景和意义。

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