Signorelli Carlo, Scognamiglio Thea, Odone Anna
School of Medicine, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan; Past-President Italian Society of Hygiene, Preventive Medicine and Public Health (SItI).
Jonhns Hopkins Center for Humanitarian Health.
Acta Biomed. 2020 Apr 10;91(3-S):175-179. doi: 10.23750/abm.v91i3-S.9511.
Since the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, the Italian Government implemented several restrictive measures to contain the spread of the infection. Data shows that, among these measures, the lockdown implemented as of 9 March had a positive impact, in particular the central and southern regions of Italy, while other actions appeared to be less effective. When the true prevalence of a disease is unknown, it is possible estimate it, based on mortality data and the assumptive case-fatality rate of the disease. Given these assumptions, the estimated period-prevalence of COVID-19 in Italy varies from 0.35% in Sicity to 13.3% in Lombardy.
自意大利出现新冠疫情以来，意大利政府实施了多项限制措施以遏制感染传播。数据显示，在这些措施中，3月9日开始实施的封锁措施产生了积极影响，尤其是在意大利中部和南部地区，而其他行动似乎效果较差。当一种疾病的真实流行率未知时，可以根据死亡率数据和该疾病的假定病死率来估计。基于这些假设，意大利新冠疫情的估计期间流行率在西西里岛为0.35%，在伦巴第为13.3%。
