只有严格的隔离措施才能遏制 2020 年意大利的冠状病毒病（COVID-19）疫情。
Only strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020.
机构信息
Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Department of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
出版信息
Euro Surveill. 2020 Apr;25(13). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280.
Several Italian towns are under lockdown to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. The level of transmission reduction required for physical distancing interventions to mitigate the epidemic is a crucial question. We show that very high adherence to community quarantine (total stay-home policy) and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a locked-down town. The larger the household size and amount of time in the public, the longer the lockdown period needed.
意大利的几个城镇已经封锁，以控制 COVID-19 的爆发。为了减轻疫情，物理隔离干预措施所需的传播减少程度是一个关键问题。我们表明，要想在封锁的城镇中控制疫情，必须非常严格地遵守社区隔离（全面居家政策）和保持小家庭规模。家庭规模越大，在公共场所的时间越长，就需要更长的封锁时间。
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