Lin Lifeng
Department of Statistics, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA.
Stat Methods Med Res. 2020 Oct;29(10):2881-2899. doi: 10.1177/0962280220910172. Epub 2020 Apr 15.
Publication bias frequently appears in meta-analyses when the included studies' results (e.g., -values) influence the studies' publication processes. Some unfavorable studies may be suppressed from publication, so the meta-analytic results may be biased toward an artificially favorable direction. Many statistical tests have been proposed to detect publication bias in recent two decades. However, they often make dramatically different assumptions about the cause of publication bias; therefore, they are usually powerful only in certain cases that support their particular assumptions, while their powers may be fairly low in many other cases. Although several simulation studies have been carried out to compare different tests' powers under various situations, it is typically infeasible to justify the exact mechanism of publication bias in a real-world meta-analysis and thus select the corresponding optimal publication bias test. We introduce a hybrid test for publication bias by synthesizing various tests and incorporating their benefits, so that it maintains relatively high powers across various mechanisms of publication bias. The superior performance of the proposed hybrid test is illustrated using simulation studies and three real-world meta-analyses with different effect sizes. It is compared with many existing methods, including the commonly used regression and rank tests, and the trim-and-fill method.
当纳入研究的结果(如p值)影响研究的发表过程时,发表偏倚经常出现在荟萃分析中。一些结果不理想的研究可能会被抑制发表,因此荟萃分析结果可能会向人为有利的方向偏倚。近二十年来,人们提出了许多统计检验方法来检测发表偏倚。然而,它们往往对发表偏倚的原因做出截然不同的假设;因此,它们通常仅在支持其特定假设的某些情况下具有强大功效,而在许多其他情况下其功效可能相当低。尽管已经进行了几项模拟研究来比较不同检验在各种情况下的功效,但在实际的荟萃分析中,要证明发表偏倚的确切机制并因此选择相应的最佳发表偏倚检验通常是不可行的。我们通过综合各种检验方法并吸收它们的优点,引入了一种用于发表偏倚的混合检验方法,以便它在各种发表偏倚机制下都能保持相对较高的功效。通过模拟研究和三个具有不同效应大小的实际荟萃分析,说明了所提出的混合检验的优越性能。它与许多现有方法进行了比较,包括常用的回归和秩检验以及修剪填充法。