School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Beijing, 100083, China.
Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for Resource and Environment, Ministry of Natural Resources of the People's Republic of China, Beijing, 100083, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Jul;27(20):25434-25449. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-08560-3. Epub 2020 Apr 29.
The Central Plains Urban Agglomeration is an important growth pole of China's economy, but the rapid economic growth is accompanied by serious air pollution problems. In this paper, the latest available PM monitoring data in 2015-2017 and exposure-response relationship model are used to quantitatively analyze the health effect damages due to PM pollution. The way of disease cost, adjusted human capital, and willingness to pay were adopted to estimate the economic loss of health effect damages. The results show that health effect damages of PM pollution in 2015-2017 were 11.9251 million, 11.4292 million, and 11.1012 million, respectively, accounting for 7.41%, 7.05%, and 6.94% of the total population of this area. The health effect economic loss was 97.398 billion RMB, 93.516 billion RMB, and 94.485 billion RMB, accounting for 1.73%, 1.53%, and 1.41% of the GDP. Chronic bronchitis and premature death due to PM are the main sources of health effect economic loss. Elderly people and infants are vulnerable groups of PM pollution. Affected by economic growth level, population density, and economic structure, Heze, Zhengzhou, Handan, and Liaocheng were greatly affected by PM pollution, and their health effect damages was larger. The health effect damages and health effect economic loss due to PM pollution in this area show a downward trend, indicating that air pollution reduction measures have played a positive role. However, the whole effect is still large. According to the results, this paper puts forward the policies.
中原城市群是中国经济的重要增长极,但快速的经济增长伴随着严重的空气污染问题。本文利用 2015-2017 年最新的 PM 监测数据和暴露-反应关系模型,定量分析了 PM 污染对健康的影响。采用疾病成本法、调整人力资本法和意愿支付法来估算健康影响损失的经济损失。结果表明,2015-2017 年 PM 污染造成的健康影响损失分别为 1192.51 万人、1142.92 万人和 1110.12 万人,占该地区总人口的 7.41%、7.05%和 6.94%。健康影响的经济损失为 973.988 亿元、935.166 亿元和 944.855 亿元,占 GDP 的 1.73%、1.53%和 1.41%。慢性支气管炎和 PM 导致的过早死亡是健康影响经济损失的主要来源。老年人和婴儿是 PM 污染的脆弱群体。受经济增长水平、人口密度和经济结构的影响,菏泽、郑州、邯郸和聊城受 PM 污染影响较大,健康影响损失也较大。该地区由于 PM 污染造成的健康影响损失和健康影响经济损失呈下降趋势,表明减少空气污染的措施发挥了积极作用。然而,整体效果仍然较大。根据研究结果,本文提出了相关政策。