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2019冠状病毒病,澳大利亚:流行病学报告13(截至澳大利亚东部标准时间2020年4月26日23:59的报告周)

COVID-19, Australia: Epidemiology Report 13 (Reporting week to 23:59 AEST 26 April 2020).

出版信息

Commun Dis Intell (2018). 2020 May 1;44. doi: 10.33321/cdi.2020.44.35.

DOI:10.33321/cdi.2020.44.35
PMID:32362270
Abstract

Confirmed cases in Australia notified up to 26 April 2020: notifications = 6,711; deaths = 77. The reduction in international travel and domestic movement, social distancing measures and public health action have likely slowed the spread of COVID-19 in Australia. Notifications in Australia remain predominantly among people with recent overseas travel, with some locally-acquired cases being detected. Most locally-acquired cases can be linked back to a confirmed case, with a small portion unable to be epidemiologically linked to another case. The ratio of overseas-acquired cases to locally-acquired cases varies by jurisdiction. The crude case fatality rate (CFR) in Australia remains low (1.1%) compared to the World Health Organization's globally-reported rate (6.9%) and to other comparable high-income countries such as the United States of America (5.1%) and the United Kingdom (13.7%). The lower CFR in Australia is likely reflective of high case ascertainment including detection of mild cases. High case ascertainment and prompt identification of contacts enables an effective public health response and a reduction of disease transmission. Internationally, cases continue to increase. The rates of increase have started to slow in several regions, although it is too soon to tell whether this trend will be sustained. Interpretation of international epidemiology should be conducted with caution as it differs from country to country depending not only on the disease dynamics, but also on differences in case detection, testing and implemented public health measures.

摘要

截至2020年4月26日澳大利亚通报的确诊病例:通报病例数 = 6711例;死亡77例。国际旅行和国内流动的减少、社交距离措施以及公共卫生行动可能减缓了COVID-19在澳大利亚的传播。澳大利亚的通报病例主要仍集中在近期有海外旅行史的人群中,同时也发现了一些本地感染病例。大多数本地感染病例可追溯至确诊病例,只有一小部分无法通过流行病学与其他病例建立联系。海外输入病例与本地感染病例的比例因司法管辖区而异。与世界卫生组织全球报告的病死率(6.9%)以及其他可比的高收入国家如美国(5.1%)和英国(13.7%)相比,澳大利亚的粗病死率仍然较低(1.1%)。澳大利亚较低的病死率可能反映了包括轻症病例检测在内的高病例确诊率。高病例确诊率和对接触者的及时识别有助于采取有效的公共卫生应对措施并减少疾病传播。在国际上,病例数持续增加。几个地区的增长速度已开始放缓,不过现在判断这一趋势是否会持续还为时过早。对国际流行病学情况的解读应谨慎进行,因为各国情况不同,这不仅取决于疾病动态,还取决于病例检测、检测和实施的公共卫生措施方面的差异。

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