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临床和胸部放射摄影特征可预测 COVID-19 中青年患者的结局。

Clinical and Chest Radiography Features Determine Patient Outcomes in Young and Middle-aged Adults with COVID-19.

机构信息

From the Department of Diagnostic, Molecular and Interventional Radiology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, Mount Sinai Hospital, 1468 Madison Ave, New York, NY 10029.

出版信息

Radiology. 2020 Oct;297(1):E197-E206. doi: 10.1148/radiol.2020201754. Epub 2020 May 14.

Abstract

Background Chest radiography has not been validated for its prognostic utility in evaluating patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Purpose To analyze the prognostic value of a chest radiograph severity scoring system for younger (nonelderly) patients with COVID-19 at initial presentation to the emergency department (ED); outcomes of interest included hospitalization, intubation, prolonged stay, sepsis, and death. Materials and Methods In this retrospective study, patients between the ages of 21 and 50 years who presented to the ED of an urban multicenter health system from March 10 to March 26, 2020, with COVID-19 confirmation on real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction were identified. Each patient's ED chest radiograph was divided into six zones and examined for opacities by two cardiothoracic radiologists, and scores were collated into a total concordant lung zone severity score. Clinical and laboratory variables were collected. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the relationship between clinical parameters, chest radiograph scores, and patient outcomes. Results The study included 338 patients: 210 men (62%), with median age of 39 years (interquartile range, 31-45 years). After adjustment for demographics and comorbidities, independent predictors of hospital admission ( = 145, 43%) were chest radiograph severity score of 2 or more (odds ratio, 6.2; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.5, 11; < .001) and obesity (odds ratio, 2.4 [95% CI: 1.1, 5.4] or morbid obesity). Among patients who were admitted, a chest radiograph score of 3 or more was an independent predictor of intubation ( = 28) (odds ratio, 4.7; 95% CI: 1.8, 13; = .002) as was hospital site. No significant difference was found in primary outcomes across race and ethnicity or those with a history of tobacco use, asthma, or diabetes mellitus type II. Conclusion For patients aged 21-50 years with coronavirus disease 2019 presenting to the emergency department, a chest radiograph severity score was predictive of risk for hospital admission and intubation. © RSNA, 2020

摘要

背景 胸部 X 线摄影尚未在评估 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者的预后方面得到验证。

目的 分析胸部 X 线摄影严重程度评分系统在急诊科(ED)初诊时对年轻(非老年)COVID-19 患者的预后价值;感兴趣的结局包括住院、插管、延长住院时间、脓毒症和死亡。

材料与方法 本回顾性研究纳入 2020 年 3 月 10 日至 3 月 26 日期间在城市多中心医疗系统的 ED 就诊且经实时逆转录酶聚合酶链反应证实 COVID-19 阳性的年龄在 21 至 50 岁之间的患者。由两名心胸放射科医生对每位患者的 ED 胸部 X 线片的 6 个区域进行透光性评估,并将评分汇总为总一致肺区严重程度评分。收集临床和实验室变量。采用多变量逻辑回归评估临床参数、胸部 X 线片评分与患者结局之间的关系。

结果 研究纳入 338 例患者:210 例男性(62%),中位年龄为 39 岁(四分位间距,31~45 岁)。校正人口统计学和合并症后,住院的独立预测因素为胸部 X 线片严重程度评分≥2 分(比值比,6.2;95%置信区间[CI]:3.5,11;<.001)和肥胖(比值比,2.4[95%CI:1.1,5.4]或病态肥胖)。在住院患者中,胸部 X 线片评分≥3 分是插管的独立预测因素( = 28)(比值比,4.7;95%CI:1.8,13;<.001),住院地点也是如此。在种族和民族或有吸烟史、哮喘或 2 型糖尿病史的患者中,主要结局无显著差异。

结论 对于在 ED 就诊的年龄在 21~50 岁的 COVID-19 患者,胸部 X 线片严重程度评分可预测住院和插管的风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/858e/7507999/4aaf92804093/radiol.2020201754.fig1.jpg

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