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早产和围产儿死亡率呈下降趋势,差距是否也在缩小?

Decreasing trend in preterm birth and perinatal mortality, do disparities also decline?

机构信息

Department of Medical Informatics, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2020 May 26;20(1):783. doi: 10.1186/s12889-020-08925-w.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In the Netherlands, several initiatives started after the publication of the PERISTAT findings that showed the perinatal mortality risk was higher than in other European countries. The objective of this study is 1) to report recent trends in perinatal mortality and in intermediate risk groups (preterm birth, congenital anomalies and small for gestational age (SGA)), 2) describing perinatal mortality risk among children born preterm, with congenital anomalies or SGA, and born in maternal high risk groups (parity, age, ethnicity and socio-economic status (SES)).

METHODS

A nationwide cohort study in the Netherlands among 996,423 singleton births in 2010-2015 with a gestational age between 24.0 and 42.6 weeks. Trend tests, univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used. We did separate analyses for gestational age subgroups and line of care.

RESULTS

The perinatal mortality rate was 5.0 per 1000 and it decreased significantly from 5.6 in 2010 to 4.6 per 1000 in 2015. Preterm birth significantly declined (6.1% in 2010 to 5.6% in 2015). Analysis by gestational age groups showed that the largest decline in perinatal mortality of 32% was seen at 24-27 weeks of gestation where the risk declined from 497 to 339 per 1000. At term, the decline was 23% from 2.2 to 1.7 per 1000. The smallest decline was 3% between 32 and 36 weeks. In children with preterm birth, congenital anomalies or SGA, the perinatal mortality risk significantly declined. Main risk factors for perinatal mortality were African ethnicity (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.1 95%CI [1.9-2.4]), maternal age ≥ 40 years (aOR1.9 95%CI [1.7-2.2]) and parity 2 (aOR 1.4 95%CI [1.3-1.5]). Among the (post)term born neonates, there was no significant decline in perinatal mortality in women with low age, low or high SES, non-Western ethnicity and among women who started or delivered under primary care.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a decline in preterm birth and in perinatal mortality between 2010 and 2015. The decline in perinatal mortality is both in stillbirths and in neonatal mortality, most prominently among 24-27 weeks and among (post)term births. A possible future target could be deliveries among 32-36 weeks, women with high maternal age or non-Western ethnicity.

摘要

背景

在荷兰,PERISTAT 研究结果公布后,开展了多项举措,该研究结果显示围产儿死亡率高于其他欧洲国家。本研究的目的是:1)报告围产儿死亡率和中间风险组(早产、先天畸形和胎儿生长受限(SGA))的近期趋势;2)描述早产、先天畸形或 SGA 以及出生于高风险产妇群体(产次、年龄、种族和社会经济地位(SES))的儿童的围产儿死亡风险。

方法

在荷兰开展了一项全国性队列研究,纳入了 2010 年至 2015 年间 996423 例单胎活产,其胎龄为 24.0 至 42.6 周。采用趋势检验、单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析。我们对不同胎龄亚组和不同管理线分别进行了分析。

结果

围产儿死亡率为 5.0/1000,从 2010 年的 5.6/1000 显著下降到 2015 年的 4.6/1000。早产的发生率显著下降(2010 年为 6.1%,2015 年为 5.6%)。按胎龄组分析显示,24-27 周的围产儿死亡率降幅最大,为 32%,从 497/1000 降至 339/1000。足月产的降幅为 23%,从 2.2/1000 降至 1.7/1000。32-36 周的降幅最小,为 3%。在早产、先天畸形或 SGA 的儿童中,围产儿死亡率显著下降。围产儿死亡的主要危险因素为非洲裔(调整比值比(aOR)2.1,95%置信区间(CI)[1.9-2.4])、产妇年龄≥40 岁(aOR 1.9,95%CI [1.7-2.2])和产次 2(aOR 1.4,95%CI [1.3-1.5])。在足月产的新生儿中,在低龄、低 SES 或高 SES、非西方种族和在初级保健机构开始分娩或分娩的产妇中,围产儿死亡率没有显著下降。

结论

2010 年至 2015 年期间,早产和围产儿死亡率均呈下降趋势。围产儿死亡率的下降既体现在死产中,也体现在新生儿死亡中,在 24-27 周和足月产中最为显著。未来可能的目标是在 32-36 周分娩,以及针对高龄产妇或非西方种族产妇。

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