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运用计数回归模型确定大学生平均吸烟数量的相关因素。

Determining correlates of the average number of cigarette smoking among college students using count regression models.

机构信息

Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

Modeling of Noncommunicable Diseases Research Center, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2020 Jun 1;10(1):8874. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-65813-4.

Abstract

College students, as a large part of young adults, are a vulnerable group to several risky behaviors including smoking and drug abuse. This study aimed to utilize and to compare count regression models to identify correlates of cigarette smoking among college students. This was a cross-sectional study conducted on students of Hamadan University of Medical Sciences. The Poisson, negative binomial, generalized Poisson, exponentiated-exponential geometric regression models and their zero-inflated counterparts were fitted and compared using the Vuong test (α = 0.05). A number of 1258 students participated in this study. The majority of students were female (60.8%) and their average age was 23 years. Most of the students were non-smokers (84.6%). Negative binomial regression was selected as the most appropriate model for analyzing the data (comparable fit and simpler interpretation). The significant correlates of the number of cigarettes smoked per day included gender (male: incident-rate-ratio (IRR = 9.21), birth order (Forth: IRR = 1.99), experiencing a break-up (IRR = 2.11), extramarital sex (heterosexual (IRR = 2.59), homosexual (IRR = 3.13) vs. none), and drug abuse (IRR = 5.99). Our findings revealed that several high-risk behaviors were associated with the intensity of smoking, suggesting that these behaviors should be considered in smoking cessation intervention programs for college students.

摘要

大学生作为青年群体的一部分,是一些危险行为(包括吸烟和吸毒)的高危人群。本研究旨在利用和比较计数回归模型来确定大学生吸烟的相关因素。这是一项在哈马丹医科大学学生中进行的横断面研究。使用 Vuong 检验(α=0.05)拟合和比较泊松、负二项、广义泊松、指数指数几何回归模型及其零膨胀对应模型。共有 1258 名学生参加了这项研究。大多数学生是女性(60.8%),平均年龄为 23 岁。大多数学生是不吸烟者(84.6%)。负二项回归被选为分析数据的最合适模型(可比的拟合度和更简单的解释)。每天吸烟支数的显著相关因素包括性别(男性:发生率比(IRR=9.21))、出生顺序(第四:IRR=1.99)、分手(IRR=2.11)、婚外性行为(异性恋(IRR=2.59)、同性恋(IRR=3.13)与无性恋(IRR=3.13)相比)和药物滥用(IRR=5.99)。我们的研究结果表明,一些高风险行为与吸烟强度有关,这表明在为大学生制定戒烟干预计划时应考虑这些行为。

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