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多维度诊断模型在应对水资源短缺地区的可持续发展中的应用:以中国广东省为例。

Multi-dimensional diagnosis model for the sustainable development of regions facing water scarcity problem: A case study for Guangdong, China.

机构信息

State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

Center for Energy, Environment and Ecology Research, UR-BNU, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2020 Sep 10;734:139394. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139394. Epub 2020 May 12.

Abstract

Freshwater consumption and wastewater discharge of economic activities have caused water scarcity problem in many regions. This study aims to develop a multi-dimensional diagnosis model (MDDM) to provide new insights for the sustainable development of regions which face water scarcity problem. In detail, the sectorial blue water, grey water and total water consumptions are assessed to reveal the direct effects of economic activities on water quantity and water quality. Then, hypothetical extraction method is integrated into input-output model and ecological network analysis to quantify the system-based effects of sectors in three dimensions: economy, water and metabolism. A case study of Guangdong province, China is conducted to illustrate the availability of the developed model. We found that the multi-dimensional performances of Guangdong's socioeconomic system are dominated by a few sectors. Wastewater, especially that discharged from the primary industry, is the main reason for the local water scarcity. Specifically, the unique role that every sector plays in the socioeconomic system is quantitatively revealed by MDDM, which could guide the relevant policy development at sectorial level.

摘要

经济活动中的淡水消耗和废水排放导致许多地区出现水资源短缺问题。本研究旨在开发多维诊断模型(MDDM),为面临水资源短缺问题的地区的可持续发展提供新的见解。具体而言,评估了部门性蓝水、灰水和总用水量,以揭示经济活动对水量和水质的直接影响。然后,将假设提取方法纳入投入产出模型和生态网络分析中,以量化三个维度的部门系统效应:经济、水和代谢。以中国广东省为例进行了案例研究,以说明所开发模型的可用性。我们发现,广东省社会经济系统的多维表现主要由少数几个部门主导。废水,特别是来自第一产业的废水,是造成当地水资源短缺的主要原因。具体而言,MDDM 定量揭示了每个部门在社会经济系统中扮演的独特角色,这可以为部门层面的相关政策制定提供指导。

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