School of Social Work, University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Gerontologist. 2020 Nov 23;60(8):1485-1494. doi: 10.1093/geront/gnaa052.
In the United States, a growing number of older adults struggle to find affordable housing that can adapt to their changing needs. Research suggests that access to affordable housing is a significant barrier to reducing unnecessary nursing home admissions. This is the first empirical study we know of to examine whether housing cost burden (HCB) is associated with moves to nursing homes among older adults.
Data include low- and moderate-income community-dwelling older adults (N = 3,403) from the nationally representative 2015 National Health and Aging Trends Study. HCB (≥30% of income spent on mortgage/rent) and housing tenure (owner/renter) are combined to create a 4-category housing typology. Multinomial logistic regression models test (a) if renters with HCB are most likely (compared with other housing types) to move to a nursing home over 3 years (2015-2018) and (b) if housing type interacts with health and functioning to predict moves to a nursing home.
Across all models, renters with HCB had the greatest likelihood of moving to a nursing home. Moreover, self-rated health, physical capacity, and mental health were weaker predictors of nursing home moves for renters with HCB.
Results suggest that older renters with HCB are most likely to experience unnecessary nursing home placement. The growing population of older renters experiencing HCB may not only signal a housing crisis, but may also challenge national efforts to shift long-term care away from nursing homes and toward community-based alternatives.
在美国,越来越多的老年人难以找到负担得起且能满足其需求变化的住房。研究表明,获得负担得起的住房是减少不必要的养老院入院的一个重要障碍。这是我们所知的第一项检验住房成本负担(HCB)是否与老年人搬入养老院相关的实证研究。
数据来自具有全国代表性的 2015 年国家健康老龄化趋势研究中的低中等收入社区居住的老年人(N=3403)。HCB(用于抵押贷款/租金的收入占比≥30%)和住房持有情况(房主/租户)相结合,形成了 4 类住房类型。多项逻辑回归模型检验(a)是否有 HCB 的租户最有可能(与其他住房类型相比)在 3 年内(2015-2018 年)搬入养老院,以及(b)住房类型是否与健康和功能相互作用,从而预测搬入养老院。
在所有模型中,有 HCB 的租户搬入养老院的可能性最大。此外,对于有 HCB 的租户来说,自我评估的健康状况、身体能力和心理健康对搬入养老院的预测作用较弱。
结果表明,有 HCB 的老年租户最有可能经历不必要的养老院安置。越来越多的有 HCB 的老年租户不仅可能预示着住房危机,而且可能对国家将长期护理从养老院转移到社区替代方案的努力构成挑战。