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多种因素共同导致了年轻驾驶员的事故。

Combinations of factors contribute to young driver crashes.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Essex, UK.

Mathematical Science Research Centre (MSRC), Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.

出版信息

J Safety Res. 2020 Jun;73:171-177. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2020.02.017. Epub 2020 Mar 13.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Motor-vehicle crashes are a leading cause of death in adolescence and young adults. A multitude of factors, including skill level, inexperience, and risk taking behaviors are associated with young drivers' crashes. This research investigated whether combinations of factors underlie crashes involving young drivers.

METHOD

A retrospective longitudinal study was conducted on population-wide one- and two-car crashes in Great Britain during years 2005-2012 per driver age (17-20, 21-29, 30-39, 40-49) and sex. Reporting officers provided their assessment of the factors contributing to crashes. Principal components analysis was conducted to identify combinations of factors underlying young drivers' crashes. Factor combinations, including challenging driving conditions, risk taking behaviors, and inexperience were implicated in young drivers' crashes.

RESULTS

Combinations of factors reveal new insights into underlying causes of crashes involving young drivers. One combination revealed that slippery roads due to poor weather pose greater risk to young drivers who are inexperienced and likely to exceed the appropriate speed. The findings motivate new policy recommendations, such as educating young drivers about the importance of adjusting their speed to the road conditions.

摘要

简介

机动车事故是青少年和年轻人死亡的主要原因。包括技能水平、缺乏经验和冒险行为在内的多种因素与年轻驾驶员的事故有关。本研究旨在探讨是否存在多种因素组合导致年轻驾驶员发生事故。

方法

本研究对英国 2005 年至 2012 年期间每一年龄组(17-20 岁、21-29 岁、30-39 岁、40-49 岁)和性别组的单人或双人汽车事故进行了回顾性纵向研究。报告员对导致事故的因素进行了评估。进行主成分分析以确定导致年轻驾驶员发生事故的因素组合。包括挑战性驾驶条件、冒险行为和缺乏经验在内的因素组合与年轻驾驶员的事故有关。

结果

因素组合揭示了导致年轻驾驶员发生事故的潜在原因的新见解。一个组合表明,由于天气恶劣导致道路湿滑对缺乏经验且可能超速的年轻驾驶员构成更大的风险。这些发现为新的政策建议提供了依据,例如教育年轻驾驶员调整速度以适应道路条件的重要性。

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