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使用 OpenSAFELY 分析与 COVID-19 相关死亡的因素。

Factors associated with COVID-19-related death using OpenSAFELY.

机构信息

London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London, UK.

The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

出版信息

Nature. 2020 Aug;584(7821):430-436. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2521-4. Epub 2020 Jul 8.

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has rapidly affected mortality worldwide. There is unprecedented urgency to understand who is most at risk of severe outcomes, and this requires new approaches for the timely analysis of large datasets. Working on behalf of NHS England, we created OpenSAFELY-a secure health analytics platform that covers 40% of all patients in England and holds patient data within the existing data centre of a major vendor of primary care electronic health records. Here we used OpenSAFELY to examine factors associated with COVID-19-related death. Primary care records of 17,278,392 adults were pseudonymously linked to 10,926 COVID-19-related deaths. COVID-19-related death was associated with: being male (hazard ratio (HR) 1.59 (95% confidence interval 1.53-1.65)); greater age and deprivation (both with a strong gradient); diabetes; severe asthma; and various other medical conditions. Compared with people of white ethnicity, Black and South Asian people were at higher risk, even after adjustment for other factors (HR 1.48 (1.29-1.69) and 1.45 (1.32-1.58), respectively). We have quantified a range of clinical factors associated with COVID-19-related death in one of the largest cohort studies on this topic so far. More patient records are rapidly being added to OpenSAFELY, we will update and extend our results regularly.

摘要

2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)迅速影响了全球的死亡率。现在当务之急是了解哪些人面临严重后果的风险最高,这需要新的方法来及时分析大型数据集。我们代表英格兰国民保健署(NHS England)创建了 OpenSAFELY,这是一个安全的健康分析平台,覆盖了英格兰所有患者的 40%,并将患者数据保存在主要初级保健电子病历供应商的现有数据中心内。在这里,我们使用 OpenSAFELY 来研究与 COVID-19 相关的死亡的相关因素。17278392 名成年人的初级保健记录与 10926 例与 COVID-19 相关的死亡病例进行了匿名关联。与 COVID-19 相关的死亡与以下因素有关:男性(危险比(HR)1.59(95%置信区间 1.53-1.65));年龄较大和贫困程度较高(两者都呈很强的梯度);糖尿病;严重哮喘;以及其他各种医疗条件。与白人相比,黑人及南亚裔人群的风险更高,即使在调整了其他因素后也是如此(HR 分别为 1.48(1.29-1.69)和 1.45(1.32-1.58))。我们在迄今为止关于这一主题的最大队列研究之一中,量化了与 COVID-19 相关的死亡相关的一系列临床因素。越来越多的患者记录正在被添加到 OpenSAFELY 中,我们将定期更新和扩展我们的结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/74fe/7611074/ce3d23ed6327/EMS127629-f004.jpg

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