Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases Research Center, Research Institute for Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran.
Epidemiol Health. 2020;42:e2020058. doi: 10.4178/epih.e2020058. Epub 2020 Aug 10.
Spatial information makes a crucial contribution to enhancing and monitoring the brucellosis surveillance system by facilitating the timely diagnosis and treatment of brucellosis.
An exponential scan statistic model was used to formalize the spatial distribution of the adjusted delay in the diagnosis time of brucellosis (time between onset and diagnosis of the disease) in Kurdistan Province, Iran. Logistic regression analysis was used to compare variables of interest between the clustered and non-clustered areas.
The spatial distribution of clusters of human brucellosis cases with delayed diagnoses was not random in Kurdistan Province. The mean survival time (i.e., time between symptom onset and diagnosis) was 4.02 months for the short spatial cluster, which was centered around the city of Baneh, and was 4.21 months for spatiotemporal clusters centered around the cities of Baneh and Qorveh. Similarly, the mean survival time for the long spatial and spatiotemporal clusters was 6.56 months and 15.69 months, respectively. The spatial distribution of the cases inside and outside of clusters differed in terms of livestock vaccination, residence, sex, and occupational variables.
The cluster pattern of brucellosis cases with delayed diagnoses indicated poor performance of the surveillance system in Kurdistan Province. Accordingly, targeted and multi-faceted approaches should be implemented to improve the brucellosis surveillance system and to reduce the number of lost days caused by delays in the diagnosis of brucellosis, which can lead to long-term and serious complications in patients.
空间信息通过促进布鲁氏菌病的及时诊断和治疗,对加强和监测布鲁氏菌病监测系统做出了至关重要的贡献。
采用指数扫描统计模型,对伊朗库尔德斯坦省调整后布鲁氏菌病(发病至诊断的时间)延迟诊断时间的空间分布进行形式化。采用逻辑回归分析比较聚类和非聚类区域的感兴趣变量。
库尔德斯坦省人类布鲁氏菌病病例延迟诊断的聚类空间分布并非随机。短空间聚类的平均生存时间(即症状出现与诊断之间的时间)为 4.02 个月,其中心位于巴内市;以巴内和戈尔韦市为中心的时空聚类的平均生存时间为 4.21 个月。同样,长时空聚类的平均生存时间分别为 6.56 个月和 15.69 个月。病例在聚类内和聚类外的空间分布在牲畜接种、居住、性别和职业变量方面存在差异。
布鲁氏菌病病例延迟诊断的聚类模式表明,库尔德斯坦省的监测系统表现不佳。因此,应采取有针对性和多方面的方法来改进布鲁氏菌病监测系统,并减少因布鲁氏菌病诊断延迟而导致的丧失天数,这可能导致患者出现长期和严重的并发症。