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指数与登革热传播风险:缺乏相关性。

Indices and Risk of Dengue Transmission: A Lack of Correlation.

机构信息

Institute for Vector and Reservoir Control Research and Development, National Institute of Health Research Development (NIHRD), MoH, Salatiga, Indonesia.

Université de Montpellier, Montpellier, France.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2020 Jul 24;8:328. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.00328. eCollection 2020.

DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2020.00328
PMID:32793541
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7393615/
Abstract

Dengue is present in 128 countries worldwide and is still expanding. There is currently no treatment or universally approved vaccine available. Therefore, prevention and control of mosquito vectors remain the most efficient ways of managing the risk of dengue outbreaks. The indices have been developed as quantitative indicators of the risk of dengue outbreaks. However, conflictual data are circulating about their reliability. We report in this article the first extensive study on indices, covering 78 locations of differing environmental and socio-economic conditions, climate, and population density across Indonesia, from West Sumatra to Papua. A total of 65,876 mosquito larvae and pupae were collected for the study. A correlation was found between incidence and human population density. No correlation was found between the incidence of dengue and the indices.

摘要

登革热在全球 128 个国家流行,并且仍在不断扩散。目前尚无治疗方法或被普遍认可的疫苗。因此,预防和控制蚊虫传播仍然是管理登革热疫情风险的最有效方法。这些指标已被开发为登革热疫情暴发风险的量化指标。然而,关于它们的可靠性却存在相互矛盾的数据。本文报道了首次在印度尼西亚进行的广泛研究,该研究涵盖了从西苏门答腊到巴布亚的 78 个不同环境和社会经济条件、气候和人口密度的地点。共采集了 65876 只蚊虫幼虫和蛹进行研究。发病率与人口密度之间存在相关性。而登革热发病率与 指数之间不存在相关性。

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