Epidemiology and Risk Policy Advice, APHA, Westminster, UK
Epidemiology and Risk Policy Advice, APHA, Westminster, UK.
Vet Rec. 2020 Nov 28;187(11):e96. doi: 10.1136/vr.106016. Epub 2020 Sep 11.
Bluetongue (BT) is a viral disease of ruminants and camelids which can have a significant impact on animal health and welfare and cause severe economic loss. The UK has been officially free of bluetongue virus (BTV) since 2011. In 2015, BTV-8 re-emerged in France and since then BTV has been spreading throughout Europe. In response to this outbreak, risk-based active surveillance was carried out at the end of the vector seasons in 2017 and 2018 to assess the risk of incursion of BTV into Great Britain.
Atmospheric dispersion modelling identified counties on the south coast of England at higher risk of an incursion. Blood samples were collected from cattle in five counties based on a sample size designed to detect at least one positive if the prevalence was 5 per cent or greater, with 95 per cent confidence.
No virus was detected in the 478 samples collected from 32 farms at the end of the 2017 vector season or in the 646 samples collected from 43 farms at the end of the 2018 vector season, when tested by RT-qPCR.
The negative results from this risk-based survey provided evidence to support the continuation of the UK's official BTV-free status.
蓝舌病(BT)是一种反刍动物和骆驼的病毒性疾病,会对动物健康和福利产生重大影响,并导致严重的经济损失。英国自 2011 年以来已经正式没有蓝舌病病毒(BTV)。2015 年,BTV-8 在法国再次出现,此后 BTV 一直在欧洲传播。针对此次疫情,2017 年和 2018 年在媒介季节结束时进行了基于风险的主动监测,以评估 BTV 侵入英国的风险。
大气扩散模型确定了英格兰南部沿海地区的县面临更高的入侵风险。根据设计的样本量,从五个县的牛群中采集血液样本,如果流行率为 5%或更高,则至少检测到一个阳性样本,置信度为 95%。
在 2017 年媒介季节结束时从 32 个农场的 478 个样本或在 2018 年媒介季节结束时从 43 个农场的 646 个样本中,用 RT-qPCR 检测时均未检测到病毒。
基于风险的调查结果为阴性,为支持英国继续保持官方 BTV 无病毒状态提供了证据。