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关于冠状病毒(2019-nCov)数学模型的最优控制;一种数值方法。

On the optimal control of coronavirus (2019-nCov) mathematical model; a numerical approach.

作者信息

Sweilam N H, Al-Mekhlafi S M, Albalawi A O, Baleanu D

机构信息

Faculty of Science, Department of Mathematics, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt.

Faculty of Education, Department of Mathematics, Sana'a University, Sana'a, Yemen.

出版信息

Adv Differ Equ. 2020;2020(1):528. doi: 10.1186/s13662-020-02982-6. Epub 2020 Sep 25.

Abstract

In this paper, a novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) mathematical model with modified parameters is presented. This model consists of six nonlinear fractional order differential equations. Optimal control of the suggested model is the main objective of this work. Two control variables are presented in this model to minimize the population number of infected and asymptotically infected people. Necessary optimality conditions are derived. The Grünwald-Letnikov nonstandard weighted average finite difference method is constructed for simulating the proposed optimal control system. The stability of the proposed method is proved. In order to validate the theoretical results, numerical simulations and comparative studies are given.

摘要

本文提出了一种具有修正参数的新型冠状病毒(2019 - nCov)数学模型。该模型由六个非线性分数阶微分方程组成。对所提出模型的最优控制是这项工作的主要目标。此模型中提出了两个控制变量,以尽量减少感染人群和渐近感染人群的数量。推导了必要的最优性条件。构建了 Grünwald - Letnikov 非标准加权平均有限差分法来模拟所提出的最优控制系统。证明了所提方法的稳定性。为验证理论结果,给出了数值模拟和对比研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5008/7517066/2b5e998080de/13662_2020_2982_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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