新冠疫情年龄分布变化 - 美国,2020 年 5 月至 8 月。
Changing Age Distribution of the COVID-19 Pandemic - United States, May-August 2020.
出版信息
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020 Oct 2;69(39):1404-1409. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6939e1.
As of September 21, 2020, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic had resulted in more than 6,800,000 reported U.S. cases and more than 199,000 associated deaths.* Early in the pandemic, COVID-19 incidence was highest among older adults (1). CDC examined the changing age distribution of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States during May-August by assessing three indicators: COVID-19-like illness-related emergency department (ED) visits, positive reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test results for SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, and confirmed COVID-19 cases. Nationwide, the median age of COVID-19 cases declined from 46 years in May to 37 years in July and 38 in August. Similar patterns were seen for COVID-19-like illness-related ED visits and positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test results in all U.S. Census regions. During June-August, COVID-19 incidence was highest in persons aged 20-29 years, who accounted for >20% of all confirmed cases. The southern United States experienced regional outbreaks of COVID-19 in June. In these regions, increases in the percentage of positive SARS-CoV-2 test results among adults aged 20-39 years preceded increases among adults aged ≥60 years by an average of 8.7 days (range = 4-15 days), suggesting that younger adults likely contributed to community transmission of COVID-19. Given the role of asymptomatic and presymptomatic transmission (2), strict adherence to community mitigation strategies and personal preventive behaviors by younger adults is needed to help reduce their risk for infection and subsequent transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to persons at higher risk for severe illness.
截至 2020 年 9 月 21 日,2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行已导致美国报告的病例超过 680 万例,相关死亡超过 19.9 万例*。在大流行早期,COVID-19 的发病率在老年人中最高(1)。CDC 通过评估三个指标来检查美国 COVID-19 大流行在 5 月至 8 月期间的年龄分布变化:COVID-19 样疾病相关的急诊部(ED)就诊、针对导致 COVID-19 的 SARS-CoV-2 的阳性逆转录-聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)检测结果,以及确诊的 COVID-19 病例。在全国范围内,COVID-19 病例的中位数年龄从 5 月的 46 岁下降到 7 月的 37 岁和 8 月的 38 岁。在所有美国人口普查地区,COVID-19 样疾病相关 ED 就诊和阳性 SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR 检测结果也出现了类似的模式。在 6 月至 8 月期间,20-29 岁人群的 COVID-19 发病率最高,占所有确诊病例的 20%以上。6 月,美国南部地区发生了 COVID-19 区域性暴发。在这些地区,20-39 岁成年人中阳性 SARS-CoV-2 检测结果的百分比增加先于≥60 岁成年人的增加,平均提前 8.7 天(范围为 4-15 天),这表明年轻成年人可能对 COVID-19 的社区传播做出了贡献。鉴于无症状和症状前传播的作用(2),年轻成年人需要严格遵守社区缓解策略和个人预防行为,以帮助降低他们感染 SARS-CoV-2 的风险,并随后将病毒传播给患重病风险较高的人。