Troya M Isabela, Khashan Ali, Kearney Patricia, Arensman Ella, Hoevel Philipp, Buckley Claire, Fitzgerald Margaret, Humphries Rory, Kiely Elizabeth, Mulchrone Kieran, Murphy Mike, O'Connor Lois, O'Donnell Joan, O'Reilly Eilis, O'Riordain Micheal, Spillane Mary, Wieczorek Sebastian, Perry Ivan J
School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland.
National Suicide Research Foundation, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland.
HRB Open Res. 2020 Aug 3;3:49. doi: 10.12688/hrbopenres.13103.1. eCollection 2020.
: Covid-19 was declared a pandemic in March 2020. Since then, governments have implemented unprecedented public health measures to contain the virus. This study will provide evidence to inform responses to the pandemic by: i) estimating population prevalence and trends of self-reported symptoms of Covid-19 and the proportions of symptomatic individuals and household contacts testing positive for Covid-19; ii) describing acceptance and compliance with physical-distancing measures, explore effects of public health measures on physical, mental and social wellbeing; iii) developing a mathematical network model to inform decisions on the optimal levels of physical distancing measures. : Two cross-sectional nationally-representative telephone surveys will be conducted in Ireland using random digit-dialling, with response rates estimates based on proportion of non-operational and non-answering numbers. The first survey with four waves in May and June will address adherence to social distancing measures and whether the respondent or other household members are or have been unwell during the preceding two weeks with one or more symptoms of Covid-19. The second survey with three waves in June, July and September will address knowledge, attitudes, and compliance towards physical-distancing measures and physical, mental and social wellbeing. The mathematical network model will be developed for all-Ireland (on various levels of spatial granularity including the scale of counties and electoral divisions) based on outputs from both cross-sectional surveys and relevant publicly available data to inform decisions on optimal levels and duration of physical distancing measures. : This study will contribute to our understanding of the impact and sustainability of public health measures of the Covid-19 pandemic. Findings will have long-lasting benefits, informing decision-making on the best levels, and duration of physical-distancing measures, balancing a range of factors including capacity of the health service with the effects on individuals' wellbeing and economic disruption. Findings will be shared with key policy-makers.
2020年3月,新型冠状病毒肺炎(Covid-19)被宣布为大流行病。自那时以来,各国政府采取了前所未有的公共卫生措施来遏制该病毒。本研究将通过以下方式提供证据,为应对这一流行病提供参考:i)估计Covid-19自我报告症状的人群患病率和趋势,以及有症状个体和家庭接触者中Covid-19检测呈阳性的比例;ii)描述对物理距离措施的接受程度和遵守情况,探讨公共卫生措施对身心健康和社会福祉的影响;iii)建立一个数学网络模型,为物理距离措施的最佳水平决策提供参考。
将在爱尔兰使用随机数字拨号进行两次全国代表性的横断面电话调查,根据无法接通和无人接听号码的比例估计回复率。5月和6月进行的第一次调查有四个阶段,将涉及对社交距离措施的遵守情况,以及受访者或其他家庭成员在过去两周内是否出现过Covid-19的一种或多种症状。6月、7月和9月进行的第二次调查有三个阶段,将涉及对物理距离措施的知识、态度和遵守情况,以及身心健康和社会福祉。将根据两次横断面调查的结果和相关公开数据,为全爱尔兰(在包括县和选区规模在内的不同空间粒度水平上)建立数学网络模型,为物理距离措施的最佳水平和持续时间决策提供参考。
本研究将有助于我们了解Covid-19大流行公共卫生措施的影响和可持续性。研究结果将带来长期益处,为关于物理距离措施的最佳水平和持续时间的决策提供参考,平衡一系列因素,包括卫生服务能力与对个人福祉和经济干扰的影响。研究结果将与主要政策制定者分享。