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炎症性肠病全球演变的四个流行病学阶段。

The four epidemiological stages in the global evolution of inflammatory bowel disease.

机构信息

Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.

Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.

出版信息

Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2021 Jan;18(1):56-66. doi: 10.1038/s41575-020-00360-x. Epub 2020 Oct 8.


DOI:10.1038/s41575-020-00360-x
PMID:33033392
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7542092/
Abstract

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a global disease; its evolution can be stratified into four epidemiological stages: Emergence, Acceleration in Incidence, Compounding Prevalence and Prevalence Equilibrium. In 2020, developing countries are in the Emergence stage, newly industrialized countries are in the Acceleration in Incidence stage, and Western regions are in the Compounding Prevalence stage. Western regions will eventually transition to the Prevalence Equilibrium stage, in which the accelerating prevalence levels off as the IBD population ages and possibly as a result of an unexpected rise in mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic. Mitigating the global burden of IBD will require concerted efforts in disease prevention and health-care delivery innovations that respond to changing demographics of the global IBD population. In this Perspective, we summarize the global epidemiology of IBD and use these data to stratify disease evolution into four epidemiological stages.

摘要

炎症性肠病(IBD)是一种全球性疾病;其发展可分为四个流行病学阶段:出现、发病率加速、流行率复合和流行率平衡。2020 年,发展中国家处于出现阶段,新兴工业化国家处于发病率加速阶段,而西方国家处于流行率复合阶段。西方国家最终将过渡到流行率平衡阶段,随着 IBD 人群的老龄化,加速流行率可能会趋于平稳,并且可能由于 COVID-19 大流行期间死亡率的意外上升而导致流行率平衡。减轻全球 IBD 负担需要在疾病预防和医疗保健创新方面做出协调一致的努力,以应对全球 IBD 人群的人口结构变化。在本观点中,我们总结了 IBD 的全球流行病学,并使用这些数据将疾病发展分为四个流行病学阶段。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc5/7542092/36d2c2440475/41575_2020_360_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc5/7542092/2fd93cb25fa1/41575_2020_360_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc5/7542092/f4c2db788a30/41575_2020_360_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc5/7542092/fbc567f8c2d7/41575_2020_360_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc5/7542092/36d2c2440475/41575_2020_360_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc5/7542092/2fd93cb25fa1/41575_2020_360_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc5/7542092/f4c2db788a30/41575_2020_360_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc5/7542092/fbc567f8c2d7/41575_2020_360_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/edc5/7542092/36d2c2440475/41575_2020_360_Fig4_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Corticosteroids, But Not TNF Antagonists, Are Associated With Adverse COVID-19 Outcomes in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: Results From an International Registry.

Gastroenterology. 2020-5-18

[2]
A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Paediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease Incidence and Prevalence Across Europe.

J Crohns Colitis. 2020-9-7

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Nature. 2020-2-3

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Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2020-7

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J Gastroenterol. 2019-7-15

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IBD prevalence in Lothian, Scotland, derived by capture-recapture methodology.

Gut. 2019-7-11

[9]
The Impact of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Canada 2018: IBD in Seniors.

J Can Assoc Gastroenterol. 2019-2

[10]
The Impact of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Canada 2018: Epidemiology.

J Can Assoc Gastroenterol. 2019-2

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