新冠病毒（COVID-19）结局预测模型。
Prediction models for covid-19 outcomes.
机构信息
Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
Centre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
出版信息
BMJ. 2020 Oct 20;371:m3777. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m3777.
Abstract
Reasons to be cautious
摘要
需要谨慎的理由
相似文献
1
Prediction models for covid-19 outcomes.新冠病毒（COVID-19）结局预测模型。
BMJ. 2020 Oct 20;371:m3777. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m3777.
2
Comparison of severity scores for COVID-19 patients with pneumonia: a retrospective study.比较新冠肺炎合并肺炎患者的严重程度评分：一项回顾性研究。
Eur Respir J. 2020 Sep 10;56(3). doi: 10.1183/13993003.02113-2020. Print 2020 Sep.
3
Interpreting COVID-19 Test Results: a Bayesian Approach.解读新冠病毒检测结果：一种贝叶斯方法。
J Gen Intern Med. 2020 Aug;35(8):2490-2491. doi: 10.1007/s11606-020-05918-8. Epub 2020 Jun 3.
4
Covid-19 in Sweden and the UK: Risk, the Game of Life.瑞典和英国的新冠疫情：风险与生命博弈
BMJ. 2020 Oct 20;371:m4068. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m4068.
5
How deadly is the coronavirus? Scientists are close to an answer.新冠病毒有多致命？科学家们即将找到答案。
Nature. 2020 Jun;582(7813):467-468. doi: 10.1038/d41586-020-01738-2.
6
Coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak.2019年冠状病毒病疫情
Panminerva Med. 2020 Jun;62(2):73-74. doi: 10.23736/S0031-0808.20.03897-5. Epub 2020 Mar 23.
7
Eosinopenia could be a relevant prognostic biomarker in patients with coronavirus disease 2019.嗜酸性粒细胞减少可能是2019冠状病毒病患者的一个相关预后生物标志物。
Allergy Asthma Proc. 2020 Nov 1;41(6):e80-e82. doi: 10.2500/aap.2020.41.200079.
8
Love in the time of COVID-19.新冠疫情下的爱情
Am J Med Genet A. 2020 Jun;182(6):1299-1301. doi: 10.1002/ajmg.a.61623. Epub 2020 May 19.
9
Association Between Population Mobility Reductions and New COVID-19 Diagnoses in the United States Along the Urban-Rural Gradient, February-April, 2020.2020年2月至4月美国城乡梯度上人口流动减少与新冠病毒新诊断病例之间的关联
Prev Chronic Dis. 2020 Oct 1;17:E118. doi: 10.5888/pcd17.200241.
10
Assessment of workers' personal vulnerability to covid-19 using 'covid-age'.使用“新冠年龄”评估工人个人对新冠病毒的易感性。
Occup Med (Lond). 2020 Oct 27;70(7):461-464. doi: 10.1093/occmed/kqaa150.
引用本文的文献
1
Multicenter comparative analysis of local and aggregated data training strategies in COVID-19 outcome prediction with Machine learning.机器学习在新冠疫情结局预测中局部和汇总数据训练策略的多中心比较分析
PLOS Digit Health. 2024 Dec 26;3(12):e0000699. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000699. eCollection 2024 Dec.
2
Paving initial forecasting COVID-19 spread capabilities by nonexperts: A case study.非专家对新冠肺炎传播能力的初步预测：一项案例研究。
Digit Health. 2024 Aug 18;10:20552076241272565. doi: 10.1177/20552076241272565. eCollection 2024 Jan-Dec.
3
The Disconnect Between Development and Intended Use of Clinical Prediction Models for Covid-19: A Systematic Review and Real-World Data Illustration.新型冠状病毒肺炎临床预测模型的开发与预期用途之间的脱节：系统评价与真实世界数据例证
Front Epidemiol. 2022 Jun 27;2:899589. doi: 10.3389/fepid.2022.899589. eCollection 2022.
4
Relevance of comorbidities for main outcomes during different periods of the COVID-19 pandemic.新冠疫情不同时期合并症与主要结局相关性。
Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2024 Jan 16;18(1):e13240. doi: 10.1111/irv.13240. eCollection 2024 Jan.
5
Clinical prediction rules for adverse evolution in patients with COVID-19 by the Omicron variant.奥密克戎变异株所致 COVID-19 患者不良转归的临床预测规则。
Int J Med Inform. 2023 May;173:105039. doi: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2023.105039. Epub 2023 Mar 7.
6
Conventional and Novel Diagnostic Tools for the Diagnosis of Emerging SARS-CoV-2 Variants.用于诊断新型严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2（SARS-CoV-2）变体的传统和新型诊断工具
Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Feb 6;11(2):374. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11020374.
7
General Severity of Illness Scoring Systems and COVID-19 Mortality Predictions: Is "Old Still Gold?".疾病严重程度通用评分系统与新冠病毒疾病死亡率预测：“老方法仍可靠吗？”
Indian J Crit Care Med. 2022 Summer;26(4):416-418. doi: 10.5005/jp-journals-10071-24197.
8
Biomarker identification using dynamic time warping analysis: a longitudinal cohort study of patients with COVID-19 in a UK tertiary hospital.使用动态时间规整分析进行生物标志物识别：英国一家三级医院 COVID-19 患者的纵向队列研究。
BMJ Open. 2022 Feb 15;12(2):e050331. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050331.
9
Longitudinally monitored immune biomarkers predict the timing of COVID-19 outcomes.纵向监测的免疫生物标志物可预测 COVID-19 结局的发生时间。
PLoS Comput Biol. 2022 Jan 18;18(1):e1009778. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009778. eCollection 2022 Jan.
10
Prospective validation of the 4C prognostic models for adults hospitalised with COVID-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol.前瞻性验证 ISARIC WHO 临床特征协议中用于 COVID-19 成年住院患者的 4C 预后模型。
Thorax. 2022 Jun;77(6):606-615. doi: 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2021-217629. Epub 2021 Nov 22.
本文引用的文献
1
2
3
Counterfactual prediction is not only for causal inference.反事实预测并非仅用于因果推断。
Eur J Epidemiol. 2020 Jul;35(7):615-617. doi: 10.1007/s10654-020-00659-8.
4
Prediction meets causal inference: the role of treatment in clinical prediction models.预测与因果推断：治疗在临床预测模型中的作用。
Eur J Epidemiol. 2020 Jul;35(7):619-630. doi: 10.1007/s10654-020-00636-1. Epub 2020 May 22.
5
Prediction models for diagnosis and prognosis of covid-19: systematic review and critical appraisal.COVID-19 诊断和预后预测模型：系统评价和批判性评估。
BMJ. 2020 Apr 7;369:m1328. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m1328.
6
Calculating the sample size required for developing a clinical prediction model.计算开发临床预测模型所需的样本量。
BMJ. 2020 Mar 18;368:m441. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m441.
7
Dynamic models to predict health outcomes: current status and methodological challenges.预测健康结果的动态模型：现状与方法学挑战
Diagn Progn Res. 2018 Dec 18;2:23. doi: 10.1186/s41512-018-0045-2. eCollection 2018.
8
Using marginal structural models to adjust for treatment drop-in when developing clinical prediction models.使用边缘结构模型在开发临床预测模型时调整治疗脱落。
Stat Med. 2018 Dec 10;37(28):4142-4154. doi: 10.1002/sim.7913. Epub 2018 Aug 2.
9
Prediction models in obstetrics: understanding the treatment paradox and potential solutions to the threat it poses.产科预测模型：理解治疗悖论及其所构成威胁的潜在解决方案。
BJOG. 2016 Jun;123(7):1060-4. doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.13859. Epub 2016 Jan 25.
10
Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): the TRIPOD statement.透明报告个体预后或诊断的多变量预测模型（TRIPOD）：TRIPOD 声明。
Ann Intern Med. 2015 Jan 6;162(1):55-63. doi: 10.7326/M14-0697.
Zotero 插件