Economic value of nonsurgical weight loss in adults with obesity.

Obesity imposes a substantial economic burden on the United States. The short-term value of nonsurgical weight loss (WL) and nonsurgical sustained WL (i.e., WL not resulting from bariatric surgery) is poorly understood. To assess short-term (1 year) effect of nonsurgical WL and sustained nonsurgical WL (i.e., approximately 2 years) on per-patient-per-month (PPPM) total all-cause health care costs among adults with obesity in the United States. In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed data from the IBM MarketScan Explorys Claims-EMR Data Set from January 1, 2012, through June 30, 2018. Adults aged 18-64 years with a body mass index (BMI) measurement ≥ 30 kg/m on the index date and BMI measurements at 12, 24, and 36 months were classified into weight-gain (≥ 3%), no-weight-change (within ± 3%), and WL (≥ 3%-≤ 5%, > 5%-≤ 10%, and > 10%-≤ 20%) cohorts based on the change from first to second BMI measurements (baseline), and sustained nonsurgical WL based on WL during baseline and < 3% weight gain from second to third BMI measurement. PPPM all-cause health care costs were calculated for baseline, first year, and second year of follow-up. Generalized linear models were used to examine if PPPM all-cause health care cost change (ΔPPPM) from baseline to follow-up differed significantly between nonsurgical WL/sustained WL and no-weight-change cohorts. Analyses were stratified by index obesity class (class 1: BMI 30- < 34.9 kg/m, class 2: BMI 35- < 39.9 kg/m, class 3: BMI ≥ 40 kg/m). Specific nonsurgical WL treatments used by individuals in the study were not studied. The sample included 20,488 adults who were grouped as follows: weight-gain cohort (24.8%), no-weight-change cohort (56.6%), ≥ 3%- ≤ 5% WL cohort (8.2%), > 5%- ≤ 10% WL cohort (7.7%), and > 10%- ≤ 20% WL cohort (2.8%). Compared with the no-weight-change cohort, adjusted mean ΔPPPM all-cause health care cost from baseline to first year of follow-up was lower in all WL cohorts (≥ 3%- ≤ 5% WL: -$57.36, > 5%- ≤ 10% WL: -$135.35 [ < 0.05], > 10%- ≤ 20% WL: -$193.54 [ < 0.05]). In the second year of follow-up (n = 15,307), the cohorts were weight-gain (43.4%), no-weight-change (59.4%), ≥ 3%- ≤ 5% sustained WL (7.3%), ≥ 5%- ≤ 10% sustained WL (6.3%), and > 10%- ≤ 20% sustained WL (1.8%). Adjusted mean ΔPPPM all-cause health care cost was lower in all sustained WL groups (-$26.38, -$157.41 [ < 0.05], and -$185.41 for ≥ 3%- ≤ 5%, ≥ 5%- ≤ 10%, and > 10%- ≤ 20% WL, respectively). Greater nonsurgical WL and sustained nonsurgical WL were generally associated with larger reduction in short-term all-cause health care costs. Results stratified by index obesity class were mixed, due to small samples. Substantial all-cause health care cost savings were observed 1 year after nonsurgical WL and after sustained (on average for 2 years) nonsurgical WL in adults with obesity, with greater nonsurgical WL and sustained nonsurgical WL associated with greater cost savings. Comprehensive solutions to chronic weight management, including improved access to antiobesity medications in combination with lifestyle interventions, could be valuable to patients, employers, and payers. This study was sponsored by Novo Nordisk, which also purchased the data. Blanchette is an employee of Novo Nordisk. Smolarz and Ramasamy are employees of Novo Nordisk and hold equity in Novo Nordisk. Ding, Fan, and Weng were employees of Novo Nordisk at the time this study was conducted. The findings from this study were previously presented at Obesity Week 2019; November 3-7, 2019; Las Vegas, NV.