China Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Centre, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, People's Republic of China.
Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia.
BMC Med. 2020 Nov 17;18(1):326. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01796-3.
It has been presumed that Chlamydia trachomatis is transmitted between men only through anal or oral sex, but no mathematical models have tested this presumption.
To test this presumption, we created 20 compartmental mathematical models of different sexual practices that included both oral and anal sex and calibrated these models to the observed rates of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at three anatomical sites from 4888 men who have sex with men (MSM) in Melbourne Sexual Health Centre during 2018-2019.
A model that included only oral and anal sex could replicate the observed rates of single-site infection at the oropharynx, urethra and rectum alone, but could not replicate infection at more than one of these sites (multisite). However, if we included transmission from sexual practices that followed one another in the same sexual episode (e.g. saliva contamination of the penis from oral sex transmitting chlamydia to the rectum by anal sex), we significantly improved the calibration of multisite infection rates substantially.
Our modelling study suggests that transmission routes other than just oral and anal sex are necessary to explain the high rate of Chlamydia trachomatis infection at more than one site.
人们一直认为沙眼衣原体只能通过肛交或口交在男性之间传播,但没有数学模型对此假设进行过检验。
为了检验这一假设,我们创建了 20 个不同性行为的房室数学模型,这些模型既包括肛交也包括口交,并根据 2018 年至 2019 年期间,4888 名男男性接触者在墨尔本性健康中心三个解剖部位的沙眼衣原体感染率对这些模型进行了校准。
一个仅包括口交和肛交的模型可以单独复制口咽、尿道和直肠单部位感染的观察到的比率,但不能复制多个部位的感染(多部位)。然而,如果我们包括在同一性行为中紧随其后的性行为传播(例如,口交中唾液污染阴茎,通过肛交将衣原体传染到直肠),我们就可以显著提高多部位感染率的校准。
我们的模型研究表明,除了肛交和口交之外,还需要其他传播途径来解释多个部位沙眼衣原体感染率高的现象。