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巴西的新冠疫情:令人痛心的局面。

Covid-19 in Brazil: A sad scenario.

机构信息

Federal University of Paraíba, Department of Statistics, João Pessoa, Paraíba, PB, Brazil.

Federal University of Pernambuco, Department of Statistics, Recife, Pernambuco, PE, Brazil.

出版信息

Cytokine Growth Factor Rev. 2021 Apr;58:51-54. doi: 10.1016/j.cytogfr.2020.10.010. Epub 2020 Nov 5.

Abstract

The main contribution of this article is to report general statistics about COVID-19 in Brazil, based on analysis of accumulated series of confirmed cases, deaths and lethality rates, in addition to presenting graphs of moving averages for states and municipalities. The data show that the pandemic in Brazil has grown rapidly since February 25th (date of the first reported case). Furthermore, the lethality rate of COVID-19 in Brazil is greater than in many other Latin American countries (Chile, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay). However, the number of new confirmed cases in Brazil has little statistical relevance because only a small part of the population has been tested. In relation to Brazilian municipalities, we highlight the 10 states with the highest lethality rates, ranked from highest to lowest. Also, predictions about the increaseor decrease innew cases and deaths for states and capital cities are presented. These results can help managers and researchers to better guide their decisions regarding COVID-19.

摘要

本文的主要贡献在于报告巴西 COVID-19 的一般统计数据,分析累计确诊病例、死亡人数和病死率,此外还展示各州和各城市的移动平均值图表。数据显示,自 2 月 25 日(首例报告病例日期)以来,巴西的疫情迅速蔓延。此外,巴西 COVID-19 的病死率高于许多其他拉丁美洲国家(智利、阿根廷、乌拉圭和巴拉圭)。然而,巴西新增确诊病例数量的统计相关性很小,因为只有一小部分人口接受了检测。在与巴西各城市相关的内容中,我们突出显示了病死率最高的 10 个州,从最高到最低排名。此外,还对各州和首府的新增病例和死亡人数的增减情况进行了预测。这些结果可以帮助管理者和研究人员更好地指导他们在 COVID-19 方面的决策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fb0a/9759916/1df69fa20fa2/gr1_lrg.jpg

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