Lang Yitian, Dong Deshi
Department of Pharmacy, The First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, People's Republic of China.
College of Pharmacy, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, People's Republic of China.
Cancer Manag Res. 2020 Nov 6;12:11383-11390. doi: 10.2147/CMAR.S272149. eCollection 2020.
The EXTREME clinical trial revealed that cetuximab plus chemotherapy improved the overall survival time of patients with recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (R/M HNSCC) versus chemotherapy alone. The current study examined the cost-effectiveness of cetuximab plus chemotherapy compared with chemotherapy alone in HNSCC patients from the perspective of China.
A partitioned survival model was implemented for R/M HNSCC patients. Survival information was derived from the CHANGE-2 trial. The model was designed as a ten-year time horizon, a 3-week cycle, and a 3% discount rate for costs and utilities. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) value is less than $30,201/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) was considered cost-effective in China. We analyzed the uncertainty by performing one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
In the base-case analysis, we found that the ICER of cetuximab plus chemotherapy compared with chemotherapy alone is $172,702/QALY. The results of one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic analysis showed that the fluctuations of each variable in its ranges do not cause ICERs to reach acceptable thresholds.
The current observations suggested that treatment with cetuximab plus chemotherapy is not a cost-effective strategy for R/M HNSCC patients in China at a $30,201 willingness to pay threshold.
EXTREME临床试验表明,与单纯化疗相比,西妥昔单抗联合化疗可改善复发或转移性头颈部鳞状细胞癌(R/M HNSCC)患者的总生存时间。本研究从中国的角度考察了西妥昔单抗联合化疗与单纯化疗相比在HNSCC患者中的成本效益。
对R/M HNSCC患者实施分区生存模型。生存信息来源于CHANGE-2试验。该模型设计为十年时间范围,3周为一个周期,成本和效用的贴现率为3%。在中国,增量成本效益比(ICER)值小于30201美元/质量调整生命年(QALY)被认为具有成本效益。我们通过进行单因素和概率敏感性分析来分析不确定性。
在基础病例分析中,我们发现西妥昔单抗联合化疗与单纯化疗相比的ICER为172702美元/QALY。单因素敏感性分析和概率分析结果表明,各变量在其范围内的波动不会使ICER达到可接受阈值。
目前的观察结果表明,在中国,对于R/M HNSCC患者,在支付意愿阈值为30201美元的情况下,使用西妥昔单抗联合化疗不是一种具有成本效益的策略。