Bruine de Bruin Wändi, Saw Htay-Wah, Goldman Dana P
Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, VPD, 635 Downey Way, Los Angeles, CA 90089-3333 USA.
Center for Economic and Social Research, Dornsife College of Letters, Arts, and Sciences, University of Southern California, VPD, 635 Downey Way, Los Angeles, CA 90089-3333 USA.
J Risk Uncertain. 2020;61(2):177-194. doi: 10.1007/s11166-020-09336-3. Epub 2020 Nov 18.
When the novel coronavirus entered the US, most US states implemented lockdown measures. In April-May 2020, state governments started political discussions about whether it would be worth the risk to reduce protective measures. In a highly politicized environment, risk perceptions and preferences for risk mitigation may vary by political inclinations. In April-May 2020, we surveyed a nationally representative sample of 5517 members of the University of Southern California's Understanding America Study. Of those, 37% identified as Democrats, 32% as Republican, and 31% as Third Party/Independent. Overall, Democrats perceived more risk associated with COVID-19 than Republicans, including for getting infected, being hospitalized and dying if infected, as well as running out of money as a result of the pandemic. Democrats were also more likely than Republicans to express concerns that states would lift economic restrictions too quickly, and to report mask use and social distancing. Generally, participants who identified as Third Party/Independent fell in between. Democrats were more likely to report watching MSNBC or CNN (vs. not), while Republicans were more likely to report watching Fox News (vs. not), and Third Party/Independents tended to watch neither. However, political inclinations predicted reported policy preferences, mask use, and social distancing, in analyses that accounted for differences in use of media sources, risk perceptions, and demographic background. In these analyses, participants' reported media use added to the partisan divide in preferences for the timing of lifting economic restrictions and reported protective behaviors. Implications for risk communication are discussed.
The online version of this article (10.1007/s11166-020-09336-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
新型冠状病毒进入美国后,美国多数州实施了封锁措施。2020年4月至5月,州政府开始就是否值得冒风险放松防护措施展开政治讨论。在高度政治化的环境中,风险认知和减轻风险的偏好可能因政治倾向而异。2020年4月至5月,我们对南加州大学“理解美国研究”项目的5517名成员进行了全国代表性抽样调查。其中,37%的人认定为民主党人,32%为共和党人,31%为第三方/独立人士。总体而言,民主党人比共和党人更能意识到与新冠病毒相关的风险,包括感染风险、感染后住院和死亡的风险,以及因疫情导致资金短缺的风险。民主党人也比共和党人更有可能担心各州会过快解除经济限制,并报告戴口罩和保持社交距离的情况。一般来说,认定为第三方/独立人士的参与者情况介于两者之间。民主党人更有可能报告观看微软全国广播公司(MSNBC)或美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)(与不看相比),而共和党人更有可能报告观看福克斯新闻(与不看相比),第三方/独立人士往往两者都不看。然而,在考虑了媒体来源使用差异、风险认知和人口背景差异的分析中,政治倾向预测了所报告的政策偏好、口罩使用和社交距离情况。在这些分析中,参与者报告的媒体使用情况加剧了在解除经济限制时机偏好和所报告的防护行为方面的党派分歧。文中讨论了对风险沟通的影响。
本文的网络版本(10.1007/s11166-020-09336-3)包含补充材料,授权用户可获取。