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中国商南地区基于统计指数、熵指数和证据权重法的滑坡易发性定量评估

Quantitative Assessment of Landslide Susceptibility Comparing Statistical Index, Index of Entropy, and Weights of Evidence in the Shangnan Area, China.

作者信息

Liu Jie, Duan Zhao

机构信息

Propaganda Department, Shaanxi Radio and TV University, Xi'an 710119, China.

College of Geology & Environment, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an 710054, China.

出版信息

Entropy (Basel). 2018 Nov 10;20(11):868. doi: 10.3390/e20110868.

Abstract

In this study, a comparative analysis of the statistical index (SI), index of entropy (IOE) and weights of evidence (WOE) models was introduced to landslide susceptibility mapping, and the performance of the three models was validated and systematically compared. As one of the most landslide-prone areas in Shaanxi Province, China, Shangnan County was selected as the study area. Firstly, a series of reports, remote sensing images and geological maps were collected, and field surveys were carried out to prepare a landslide inventory map. A total of 348 landslides were identified in study area, and they were reclassified as a training dataset (70% = 244 landslides) and testing dataset (30% = 104 landslides) by random selection. Thirteen conditioning factors were then employed. Corresponding thematic data layers and landslide susceptibility maps were generated based on ArcGIS software. Finally, the area under the curve (AUC) values were calculated for the training dataset and the testing dataset in order to validate and compare the performance of the three models. For the training dataset, the AUC plots showed that the WOE model had the highest accuracy rate of 76.05%, followed by the SI model (74.67%) and the IOE model (71.12%). In the case of the testing dataset, the prediction accuracy rates for the SI, IOE and WOE models were 73.75%, 63.89%, and 75.10%, respectively. It can be concluded that the WOE model had the best prediction capacity for landslide susceptibility mapping in Shangnan County. The landslide susceptibility map produced by the WOE model had a profound geological and engineering significance in terms of landslide hazard prevention and control in the study area and other similar areas.

摘要

在本研究中,将统计指数(SI)、熵指数(IOE)和证据权重(WOE)模型的比较分析引入滑坡易发性制图,并对这三种模型的性能进行了验证和系统比较。作为中国陕西省滑坡最易发地区之一,商南县被选为研究区域。首先,收集了一系列报告、遥感图像和地质图,并进行了实地调查以编制滑坡清单图。在研究区域共识别出348处滑坡,通过随机选择将它们重新划分为训练数据集(70% = 244处滑坡)和测试数据集(30% = 104处滑坡)。然后采用了13个控制因素。基于ArcGIS软件生成了相应的专题数据层和滑坡易发性图。最后,计算了训练数据集和测试数据集的曲线下面积(AUC)值,以验证和比较这三种模型的性能。对于训练数据集,AUC图显示WOE模型的准确率最高,为76.05%,其次是SI模型(74.67%)和IOE模型(71.12%)。在测试数据集的情况下,SI、IOE和WOE模型的预测准确率分别为73.75%、63.89%和75.10%。可以得出结论,WOE模型在商南县滑坡易发性制图方面具有最佳的预测能力。WOE模型生成的滑坡易发性图在研究区域和其他类似区域的滑坡灾害预防和控制方面具有深远的地质和工程意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ca40/7512448/4f63c35c280c/entropy-20-00868-g001.jpg

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