Comparison between estimated and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity for cardiovascular and overall mortality prediction.

Pulse wave velocity (PWV) was a good marker of arterial stiffness and could predict cardiovascular (CV) outcomes. Recently, estimated PWV (ePWV) calculated by equations using age and mean blood pressure was reported to be an independent predictor of major CV events. However, there was no study comparing ePWV with brachial-ankle PWV (baPWV) for CV and overall mortality prediction. We included 881 patients arranged for echocardiographic examination. BaPWV and blood pressures were measured by ankle-brachial index-form device. The median follow-up period to mortality was 94 months. Mortality events were documented during the follow-up period, including CV mortality (n = 66) and overall mortality (n = 184). Both of ePWV and baPWV were associated with increased CV and overall mortality after the multivariable analysis. ePWV had better predictive value than Framingham risk score (FRS) for CV and overall mortality prediction, but baPWV did not. In direct comparison of multivariable analysis using FRS as basic model, ePWV had a superior additive predictive value for CV mortality than baPWV (p = .030), but similar predictive valve for overall mortality as baPWV (p = .540). In conclusion, both ePWV and baPWV were independent predictors for long-term CV and overall mortality in univariable and multivariable analysis. Besides, ePWV had a better additive predictive value for CV mortality than baPWV and similar predictive value for overall mortality as baPWV. Therefore, ePWV obtained without equipment deserved to be calculated for overall mortality prediction and better CV survival prediction.